Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Miami, FL

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000
FNUS72 KMFL 281322
FWSMFL

Spot Forecast for Seminole RX...Seminole Tribe Fire Rescue
National Weather Service Miami FL
922 AM EDT Fri Jun 28 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 EDT on June 28.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (305) 229-4522, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Light and variable winds this morning will become southerly this
afternoon, however, they will remain rather light throughout the
day at the burn site. Scattered to numerous showers and
thunderstorms will develop as the afternoon progresses. Maximum
dispersion values at the burn site today will remain poor to fair.
Minimum relative humidity values will remain above critical
values throughout the forecast period.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the
                    afternoon. Chance of showers and thunderstorms
                    late in the afternoon, then showers and
                    thunderstorms likely late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms until 1400, then 1-8 strikes until
                    1700, then 16-25 strikes.
Max temperature.....Around 92.
Min humidity........62 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south around 5 mph late in
                    the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......4100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 7 mph.
Dispersion index....20 increasing to 24 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............3.

TIME (EDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........33  39  44  46  48  49  58  63
Weather cov.....                SCH CHC CHC LKY
Weather type....                RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                SCH CHC CHC LKY
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   10  10  20  30  40  60
LAL.............1   1   1   1   2   2   2   4
Temp............86  87  89  90  90  91  90  90
RH..............80  75  70  68  66  62  66  66
20 FT wind dir..SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   SE
20 FT wind spd..2   2   3   3   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.6   6   7   9   10  12  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...2.7 3.5 3.7 3.9 4.1 3.5 2.9 2.3
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  S   SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.5   5   5   6   6   6   7   7
Dispersion idx..15  20  21  24  28  23  22  20
LVORI...........4   3   3   3   2   2   2   2

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Showers and
                    thunderstorms likely early in the evening, then
                    chance of showers and thunderstorms early in
                    the evening. Slight chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms late in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
LAL.................16-25 strikes until 2000, then 9-15 strikes
                    until 2300, then 1-8 strikes until 2400, then
                    No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 75.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms early in the evening. Gusty
                    and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms
                    early in the evening, then gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    evening.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 3 to 8 mph.
Dispersion index....16 decreasing to 3 early in the evening.
LVORI...............6.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........69  75  76  74  83  81  78  72  66  53  59  58
Weather cov.....LKY LKY CHC CHC SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........LKY LKY CHC CHC SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).70  60  50  30  20  20  10  10  10  10  0   0
LAL.............4   4   3   3   3   2   2   2   1   1   1   1
Temp............87  85  83  79  78  78  77  77  76  76  76  75
RH..............72  77  82  91  94  94  97  97  97  97  97  100
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  S   S   S   SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   1   1   1   1
20 FT wind gust.10  9   9   9   9   9   8   7   7   7   6   6
Mix hgt (kft)...1.9 1.4 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.5
Transp wind dir.SW  S   SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.8   8   8   8   8   8   7   6   5   3   3   3
Dispersion idx..17  14  4   4   4   4   4   3   3   2   2   2
LVORI...........3   4   5   6   6   6   7   7   7   8   7   8

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms in the morning, then showers
                    and thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms until 1100, then 9-15 strikes until
                    1400, then 16-25 strikes.
Max temperature.....Around 91.
Min humidity........66 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming east 5 to 6 mph in the
                    afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms late in the morning. Gusty
                    and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms
                    late in the morning. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......3900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 3 mph shifting to the east 3
                    to 12 mph, then increasing to around 13 mph
                    late in the afternoon.
Dispersion index....5 increasing to 36.
LVORI...............6.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........58     51     58     68     58     56
Weather cov.....              CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY
Weather type....NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........              S CHC  CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY
Chc of pcpn (%).0      10     30     60     70     70
LAL.............1      1      1      3      4      4
Temp............75     77     85     87     89     90
RH..............100    100    82     77     68     66
20 FT wind dir..S      SE     E      E      E      E
20 FT wind spd..1      1      2      3      5      6
20 FT wind gust.6      6      6      8      12     13
Mix hgt (ft)....600    700    1900   3000   3900   3200
Transport wind..SE 3   NE 3   NE 6   NE 7   E 7    E 12
Dispersion idx..2      4      13     22     25     34
LVORI...........9      8      4      3      3      2

$$
Forecaster...Caracozza
Requested by...Nathanael Cournoyer
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2416871.0/MFL
.DELDT 06/28/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0