Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Miami, FL

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Spot Forecast for Boy Scout Camp Rx...National Park Service
National Weather Service Miami FL
425 PM EDT Sun Jun 16 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EDT on June 17.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (305) 229-4522, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Breezy easterly winds at the burn site on Monday. Overall, only
slight chances for rainfall with a few isolated showers or
thunderstorms moving through the area in the morning to early
afternoon hours. These could result in erratic and gusty winds.
Dispersion values will rise to generally good during afternoon.
Minimum relative humidity values should remain above 60%.

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms until 1100, then 1-8 strikes until
                    1400.
Max temperature.....Around 88.
Min humidity........65 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 7 to 13 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......3500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 12 to 18 mph.
Dispersion index....15 increasing to 30 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 44 late in the morning increasing
                    to 56 late in the morning decreasing to 51.
LVORI...............3.

TIME (EDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........44  49  37  44  55  48  66  65  55  59
Weather cov.....        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........            SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  20  20  20  20  20  20  10  10
LAL.............1   1   1   2   2   2   3   3   3   2
Temp............79  83  86  86  87  88  87  87  87  87
RH..............94  82  72  70  68  68  70  68  68  68
20 FT wind dir..NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..7   8   9   10  12  12  12  13  13  12
20 FT wind gust.17  20  21  22  22  23  24  24  24  24
Mix hgt (kft)...0.9 1.7 2.5 3.4 3.4 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.5
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.12  13  15  16  17  17  17  18  18  18
Dispersion idx..15  30  44  55  54  57  46  48  55  54
LVORI...........5   4   3   2   1   1   2   1   1   1

.MONDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................1-8 strikes.
Min temperature.....Around 77.
Max humidity........88 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 10 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 13 to 17 mph.
Dispersion index....48 decreasing to 14 early in the evening.
LVORI...............3.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........62  37  63  60  62  55  52  57  62  60  58  56
Weather cov.....        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20
LAL.............2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
Temp............86  85  82  81  81  80  79  79  79  79  78  78
RH..............68  70  77  79  79  82  85  85  85  85  88  88
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..10  9   8   8   8   7   6   5   5   5   6   7
20 FT wind gust.23  22  22  22  21  20  20  18  18  18  18  18
Mix hgt (kft)...2.9 2.3 1.7 1.4 1.1 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.17  16  15  15  15  14  14  13  13  13  13  13
Dispersion idx..49  46  18  17  14  13  11  10  9   9   10  11
LVORI...........1   2   3   3   4   4   4   5   5   5   5   5

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
LAL.................1-8 strikes until 1100, then 9-15 strikes.
Max temperature.....Around 89.
Min humidity........66 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 8 to 13 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......4200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 13 to 21 mph.
Dispersion index....14 increasing to 71.
LVORI...............3.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........54     50     56     57     51     48
Weather cov.....S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
Chc of pcpn (%).20     30     30     30     60     60
LAL.............2      2      2      3      3      3
Temp............79     81     84     87     88     88
RH..............88     85     74     68     68     66
20 FT wind dir..E      E      E      E      E      E
20 FT wind spd..8      8      10     12     12     13
20 FT wind gust.18     20     22     23     24     24
Mix hgt (ft)....1100   2100   3100   3600   3700   4100
Transport wind..E 13   E 15   E 18   E 21   E 21   E 20
Dispersion idx..12     40     48     59     72     71
LVORI...........5      4      3      1      1      1

$$
Forecaster...Culver
Requested by...Chris Hericks
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2416235.0/MFL
.DELDT 06/16/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0