214
FNUS76 KMFR 222328
FWSMFR

Spot Forecast for Devils Knob Wildfire...Umpqua NF Type 3 IMT
National Weather Service MEDFORD OR
428 PM PDT Sun Sep 22 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 PDT on September 23.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Temperatures will trend warmer through Tuesday with
continued dry weather and light to moderate east winds and moderate
recoveries expected overnight. An approaching front will result in
southwest winds Tuesday afternoon into Wednesday, but very little to
no precipitation over the burn site as it passes overhead late Wednesday.
Conditions will trend cooler with higher humidities behind the front.
Another even weaker front is likely Friday.

*NOTE* The tabular forecast is only representative of the higher
elevations of the fire, and will not necessarily portray conditions
at lower elevations.


.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....Ridges: 70-75.
Valleys: 75-80.
Min humidity........35-40 percent.
Eye level winds.....Near calm in the morning, becoming west to
northwest 3-4 mph in the afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........Near calm in the morning, becoming west to
northwest 5-8 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......2200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 5 to 8 mph shifting to the northwest
                    around 8 mph in the afternoon.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.

TIME (PDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky cover.......MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............55     56     61     67     70     70
RH..............57     55     48     42     39     39
20 ft wind......NE 3   N 2    N 2    NW 4   W 6    W 6
20 ft wind gust.6      5      5      6      8      8
Eye level wind..NE 1   N 1    N 1    NW 1   W 2    W 2
Eye lvl wnd gst.2      2      2      2      3      3
Mix hgt (ft)....BLW100 BLW100 BLW100 1500   2200   2200
Transport wind..NE 5   NE 5   NE 5   NE 8   N 8    N 8

.MONDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....60-65.
Max humidity........55-60 percent.
Eye level winds.....East 2-3 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........East 3-4 mph.
Mixing height.......0 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 8 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.

TIME (PDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky cover.......MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............68     63     62     64     67     67
RH..............47     57     57     50     39     35
20 ft wind......W 5    N 3    N 3    E 5    E 7    E 7
20 ft wind gust.7      6      6      7      11     11
Eye level wind..W 2    N 1    N 1    E 2    E 3    E 3
Eye lvl wnd gst.3      2      2      3      4      4
Mix hgt (ft)....1000   BLW100 BLW100 BLW100 BLW100 BLW100
Transport wind..NW 8   NW 9   NW 9   E 10   SE 13  SE 13

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....Ridges: Around 80.
Valleys: 85-90.
Min humidity........23 percent.
Eye level winds.....East 2-3 mph in the morning, becoming south
then southwest 3-5 mph in the afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........East 3-4 mph in the morning, becoming south
then southwest 5-8 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......6800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 mph shifting to the southwest
                    in the afternoon.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.

TIME (PDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky cover.......MCLEAR CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR  MCLEAR MCLEAR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............65     64     69     74     78     79
RH..............38     43     36     29     24     21
20 ft wind......SE 8   SE 6   SE 6   S 5    SW 5   SW 5
20 ft wind gust.13     10     10     7      7      7
Eye level wind..SE 3   SE 2   SE 2   S 2    SW 2   SW 2
Eye lvl wnd gst.5      4      4      3      3      3
Mix hgt (ft)....BLW100 BLW100 BLW100 1100   6700   6700
Transport wind..SE 12  SE 9   SE 9   S 12   SW 9   SW 9

$$
Forecaster...NIEUWENHUIS
Requested by...Jessica Ilse
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2422870.0/MFR
.DELDT 09/22/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL jessica_ilse@firenet.gov