644
FNUS76 KMFR 180416
FWSMFR

Spot Forecast for Morgan Point RX...Mid Klamath Watershed Council
National Weather Service MEDFORD OR
916 PM PDT Mon Jun 17 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 PDT on June 18.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Cool, but dry weather will continue tonight. It`ll
be dry and turn warmer Tuesday and Wednesday with high pressure
sticking around through Friday. The humidity is expected to
increase above 20% around 7 PM Tuesday and Wednesday evenings, and
fall below 20% by 10 or 11 am. The forecast mixing/inversion
height might actually be a little low. Some models show the
inversion sitting as high as 2000 feet.

**Interesting to hear about the east surface wind. I wonder if it
 was from some turning along the river valley? It`s hard to know
 for sure as the valley is tight enough our models can`t quite
 resolve the winds there. Sounds like everything else went well
 with respect to burning, and I hope your next window is just as
 fruitful.

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 84 degrees.
Min humidity........13 percent.
Eye level winds.....Northeast at 1-2 mph in the morning, becoming
North-northeast at 1-3 mph in the afternoon.
These winds should generally follow diurnal
wind patterns up-valley/up-slope.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast at 2-4 mph in the morning, becoming
North-west at 2-6 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......9100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 4 mph in the morning becoming
northwest around 7 mph in the afternoon.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear.
Min temperature.....Around 47 degrees.
Max humidity........68 percent.
Eye level winds.....Northwest around 2 mph in the evening
                    becoming down-slope/down-valley at 1-3 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest at 3 to 6 mph in the evening
                    becoming northeast at 2-5 mph overnight.
Mixing height.......1300 to 1700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 6 mph before midnight becoming
northeast around 4 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.

.WEDNESDAY (JUNETEENTH)...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 90 degrees.
Min humidity........15 percent.
Eye level winds.....Calm winds in the morning becoming
Up-slope, then up-valley (possibly
turning from the east, though) at
1-4 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast at 1-3 mph becoming north,
then northwest throughout the afternoon
at 4 to 7 mph.
Mixing height.......11400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 5 mph in the morning turning
to the north-northwest around 8 mph in the
afternoon.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.

$$
Forecaster...MILES
Requested by...Eric Darragh
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2416332.0/MFR
.DELDT 06/18/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL ericdarragh@mkwc.org