Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Milwaukee/Sullivan, WI
Issued by NWS Milwaukee/Sullivan, WI
803 FXUS63 KMKX 310827 AFDMKX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI 327 AM CDT Fri May 31 2024 .KEY MESSAGES... - Chances for showers and a few thunderstorms (30-60%) return early Saturday morning, continuing through the afternoon. - Warm and humid conditions are expected through the first half of the workweek. - Expect daily chances (ranging from 40-70%) for showers and thunderstorms Monday through Wednesday. && .SHORT TERM... Issued 327 AM CDT Fri May 31 2024 Today through Saturday: After a chilly start to the day, temperatures are expected to warm into the mid to upper 70s today, as light south to southwest winds develop behind departing high pressure. A lake breeze will likely bring cooler temperatures to the lakeshore area by afternoon. Lows tonight will fall into the mid to upper 50s, as clouds increase ahead of shortwave energy approaching from the west and southwest. This lift and increasing moisture will interact with a decaying frontal zone to produce showers and thunderstorms across the region on Saturday. The increased cloud cover and precipitation chances will keep highs cooler on Saturday, with mid to upper 60s to low 70s (warmest west) expected. Boxell && .LONG TERM... Issued 327 AM CDT Fri May 31 2024 Saturday Night through Thursday: High pressure will briefly build into and through the area Saturday night and Sunday. With fresh rainfall on Saturday and light and variable winds Saturday night, areas of fog will be possible. Sunday looks to be dry and warm, with highs in the upper 70s to around 80. The first half of the workweek is looking to be rather warm and active, with daily chances for showers and thunderstorms. A decaying line of showers and thunderstorms may approach the area Monday morning, and/or redevelop across the region during the afternoon. Additional showers and storms are possible later Tuesday into Wednesday, as a cold front moves through the area. While still quite early, there appears to be some potential for strong storms during the Tuesday/Wednesday timeframe. Highs during this stretch are expected to be in the upper 70s and low 80s, with overnight lows in the 60s. Boxell && .AVIATION... Issued 327 AM CDT Fri May 31 2024 VFR conditions are expected through the next 24 hours. Light south to southwest winds are expected today, with winds turning southeasterly near Lake Michigan this afternoon due to the passage of a lake breeze. The lake breeze may make it as far inland as Waukesha early this evening. Otherwise, just high cloud cover is expected through the evening hours. Boxell && .MARINE... Issued 327 AM CDT Fri May 31 2024 High pressure over Ohio will move east into the Mid Atlantic by Saturday morning. Light south to southwest winds are expected today as the high moves east. Low pressure will then slide by to the south on Saturday, resulting in east to north winds across the southern lake, while winds will remain more southerly in the north. Lighter and somewhat variable winds winds will return on Sunday as high pressure briefly moves through the area. Southerly winds will return and increase a bit early next week ahead of the next approaching low. Boxell && .MKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... WI...None. LM...None. && $$ Visit us at weather.gov/milwaukee Follow us on Facebook, Twitter, and YouTube at: www.facebook.com/NWSMilwaukee www.twitter.com/NWSMilwaukee www.youtube.com/NWSMilwaukee