606
FXUS62 KMLB 180549
AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
149 AM EDT Wed Sep 18 2024

...New AVIATION...

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFs)
Issued at 127 AM EDT Wed Sep 18 2024

Showers and storms continue offshore, though land areas remain dry
as of around 6Z. Light winds will be primarily westerly through
at least mid-morning, before the east coast sea breeze develops
and pushes inland through the afternoon, backing winds onshore. At
this time, LEE looks to remain westerly through the period. VCSH
developing along the sea breeze around 16-18Z at the coast. Then,
VCTS included at all sites by 20Z. The highest coverage looks to
be along the coast, with TEMPOs included through 1Z there. TEMPOs
also included for ISM/MCO/SFB, though coverage is forecast to end
there first. Winds becoming light and variable again after
sunset.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 951 PM EDT Tue Sep 17 2024

Showers and lightning storms are holding on a little longer than
expected across the southern counties thanks to multiple boundary
interactions near the frontal boundary meandering across Central
Florida, and the trough aloft associated with a mid-level low over
the Southeast. Had a couple stronger storms develop during the
evening, and a small outbreak of hook-shaped showers and storms
which had little to no rotation, but so far haven`t seen any
reports beyond a few gusts to 25-35 mph. Most of this activity has
dissipated or pushed offshore, but a few linger on, including a
few that managed to recently develop in Lake County, which should
dissipate by midnight. Made a couple changes to PoPs through the
evening to match trends, but the rest of the forecast remains in
good shape.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 410 PM EDT Tue Sep 17 2024

Now-Tonight...Improving boating conditions are expected with seas
decreasing to around 3-5 ft late tonight. Winds remain light,
becoming offshore overnight around 5 kt. Isolated showers and
lightning storms are possible, capable of producing gusty winds and
locally higher seas.

Wednesday-Saturday...Light offshore flow becomes onshore behind the
east coast breeze each afternoon through Thursday, before more
persistent ENE wind resumes Friday into next weekend. Seas are
forecast to be favorable for boating, around 2-4 ft. Daily rain and
lightning storm chances will continue, especially Wed-Thu.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  91  73  90  73 /  60  40  40  10
MCO  92  74  91  73 /  40  30  50  20
MLB  90  73  89  74 /  60  50  50  50
VRB  91  73  90  72 /  60  50  60  50
LEE  91  74  90  73 /  40  20  40  10
SFB  91  73  91  73 /  50  30  50  10
ORL  92  75  92  75 /  40  30  50  20
FPR  91  73  90  72 /  60  50  60  50

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...Coastal Flood Advisory until 2 PM EDT Thursday for FLZ141-154-
     159-164-347-447-647-747.

AM...None.
&&

$$

UPDATE...Haley
AVIATION...Leahy