Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL
Versions:
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
876 FXUS62 KMLB 080610 AFDMLB Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 210 AM EDT Sat Jun 8 2024 ...New AVIATION... .AVIATION... (06Z TAFs) Issued at 141 AM EDT Sat Jun 8 2024 VFR conditions prevail outside of convection through the TAF period. Light SW-W winds will once again favor the WCSB, reaching KLEE ~19Z and KISM/KMCO/KSFB ~22Z, increasing W winds to 10-15 kts. Delayed ECSB reaches the coastal terminals between 16Z-20Z, earlier to the south and later to the north, shifting winds ESE- SE 10-15 kts with occasional gusts to 20 kts. ECSB/WCSB collision expected just west of the I-95 corridor ~22Z. Slightly lower rain chances than yesterday, but still enough for VCTS mention at all ECFL terminals with varying timing between 18Z-03Z. Confidence in timing and location of heavier TSRA too low for TEMPOs at this time. Will continue to reevaluate in upcoming packages, but given the lower rain chances, might have to go with short-fused TEMPOs once TSRA develops. && .UPDATE... Issued at 846 PM EDT Fri Jun 7 2024 Current-Tonight... While not as active as yesterday, east central Florida had another active day late this afternoon and evening. Scattered to numerous showers and lightning storms once again formed along the east coast sea breeze, outflow boundaries, and boundary collisions. Showers and storms concentrated mainly just west of I-95 towards the coast, as well as activity moving in from the west and south around Lake Okeechobee. Some of these storms were strong, especially across the coast of Volusia county, as well as the Treasure Coast and Okeechobee/S Osceola counties where reports of strong wind gusts occurred. Activity has since diminished this evening, with any lingering showers and storms moving away from the coast and out into the Atlantic. Temperatures this afternoon reached in the low to mid 90s with two of our sites tying their record high temperatures for the date. Leesburg reached 96 degrees, which was last set in 2008, and Fort Pierce reached 95 degrees, which was last set in 1998. Mostly dry conditions expected through the overnight period, with rain chances less than 10 percent. Mild and humid once again tonight, with lows in the low to mid 70s. Partly cloudy skies this evening will clear through the overnight, becoming mostly clear after midnight. && .MARINE... Issued at 327 PM EDT Fri Jun 7 2024 Tonight-Weekend...Outside of lightning storms, boating conditions will remain favorable this weekend with seas of 2 feet and offshore winds becoming southeasterly near 10-15 knots with the sea breeze development each afternoon. Mariners should be cautious of offshore moving showers and thunderstorms during the evening hours, with locally higher seas, gusty winds and lightning strikes all possible. Monday-Tuesday...Generally favorable boating conditions prevail into early next week, although south to southwest winds increase above 15 knots briefly early on Tuesday. Much higher tropical moisture arrives on Tuesday, bringing rain chances of 70-80% from mid to late week. && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 327 PM EDT Fri Jun 7 2024 This Weekend...Sensitive fire weather conditions persist due to drought conditions and the potential for new fire starts due to lightning strikes. Minimum relative humidity values fall to the mid 30s to low 40s on Sunday, before moisture increases across the state next week. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... DAB 95 75 97 74 / 20 20 20 10 MCO 97 77 96 76 / 30 20 30 10 MLB 93 76 93 76 / 30 20 40 20 VRB 94 74 93 76 / 40 20 40 20 LEE 97 76 97 76 / 30 10 20 0 SFB 96 76 97 76 / 30 20 30 0 ORL 97 77 96 77 / 30 20 30 0 FPR 93 74 93 75 / 40 20 40 20 && .MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. AM...None. && $$ UPDATE...Watson AVIATION...Haley