Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL
390 FNUS72 KMLB 011151 FWSMLB Spot Forecast for Horseshoe WF...Florida Forest Service National Weather Service Melbourne FL 751 AM EDT Sat Jun 1 2024 Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0800 EDT on June 01. If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather Service. .DISCUSSION...Mainly dry and breezy/gusty conditions will continue fire sensitivity today. Min RH values will hover in the low 40s across the burn area. But sustained East winds 10 to 15 mph with frequent higher gusts (up to around 25 mph) will produce Very Good to Excellent dispersions. Combined with dry fuels, any new or ongoing fires may spread rapidly. East to east-southeast winds this evening will be slow to diminish through the evening. Fog is not anticipated. On Sunday, the onshore winds will decrease some and the dry airmass will modify allowing min RH values to hold near 50 percent. There will also be an increasing chance (30%) for mainly afternoon and early evening showers and lightning storms. Rain/storm chances should remain below normal during the early to mid next week but critically low RH values are not forecast. .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Chance of pcpn......0 percent. LAL.................No Tstms. Max temperature.....Around 88. Min humidity........43 percent. Wind (20 ft)........East winds 10 to 15 mph with frequent higher gusts. Mixing height.......900 ft AGL increasing to 6400 ft AGL in the late morning and afternoon. Transport winds.....Easterly 13 to 16 mph. Dispersion index....Increasing up to around 72. LVORI...............3 decreasing to 1. TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........18 19 25 26 33 31 37 32 46 36 Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Temp............72 76 81 83 85 86 86 87 87 86 RH..............76 69 58 53 50 46 45 43 43 45 20 FT wind dir..E E E E E E E E E E 20 FT wind spd..7 8 9 12 12 13 13 13 14 14 20 FT wind gust.13 15 17 20 21 21 22 22 22 21 Mix hgt (kft)...0.9 5.0 5.0 5.8 6.2 6.2 6.4 6.3 6.1 5.9 Transp wind dir.E E E E E E E E E E Transp wind spd.13 16 16 15 13 13 13 13 13 13 Dispersion idx..19 75 72 69 59 59 58 58 57 59 LVORI...........3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Chance of pcpn......10 percent. LAL.................No Tstms. Min temperature.....Around 67. Max humidity........84 percent. Wind (20 ft)........East winds 8 to 13 mph with higher gusts in the evening becoming light overnight. Mixing height.......4300 ft AGL decreasing to 400 ft AGL early in the evening. Transport winds.....East 8 to 15 mph. Dispersion index....Decreasing to around 4 overnight. LVORI...............Increasing to around 5. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM Sky (%).........34 39 34 25 24 24 Weather cov..... Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).0 10 0 0 0 0 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 Temp............86 79 75 72 70 69 RH..............45 58 66 76 78 81 20 ft wind......E 13 E 10 E 6 E 3 E 2 E 2 20 ft wind gust.21 18 14 12 8 7 Mix hgt (ft)....5100 2300 600 500 500 400 Transport wind..E 15 E 15 E 14 E 10 SE 8 E 8 Dispersion idx..61 10 6 5 4 4 LVORI...........1 2 3 3 4 5 .SUNDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Chance of mainly afternoon showers and thunderstorms. Chance of pcpn......30 percent. LAL.................No Tstms until 0800, then 1-8 strikes until 1400, then 9-15 strikes. Max temperature.....Around 89. Min humidity........52 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming east 6 to 9 mph with some higher gusts. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms. Mixing height.......2100 ft AGL increasing to 6600 ft AGL. Transport winds.....East 7 to 9 mph. Dispersion index....Increasing to around 59. LVORI...............5 decreasing to 1. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM Sky (%).........38 21 41 48 57 47 Weather cov..... S CHC S CHC CHANCE CHANCE Weather type....NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR Tstm cov........ S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC Chc of pcpn (%).0 10 20 20 30 30 LAL.............1 1 2 2 3 3 Temp............68 72 80 84 87 87 RH..............84 81 67 59 52 53 20 ft wind......E 2 E 2 E 6 E 7 E 6 E 7 20 ft wind gust.7 8 12 14 15 16 Mix hgt (ft)....400 600 3600 5600 6600 6300 Transport wind..SE 8 E 8 E 9 E 8 E 7 E 8 Dispersion idx..3 6 42 54 56 56 LVORI...........5 4 1 1 1 1 $$ Forecaster...Sedlock Requested by...Brad Weller Type of request...WILDFIRE .TAG 2415429.1/MLB .DELDT 06/01/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL Bradley.weller@fdacs.gov