Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL
559
FNUS72 KMLB 021204
FWSMLB
Spot Forecast for BSP-10...Florida Park Service
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
804 AM EDT Tue Jul 2 2024
Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EDT on July 02.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...Light south winds much of the day today will turn
southeast behind a sea breeze passage during the mid to late
afternoon. Rain and storm chances will be quite low through early
afternoon. Scattered showers and storms will develop in the vicinity
of the burn late in the afternoon.
Min RHs around 55 pct. Smoke dispersion will be Fair to Good.
Afternoon highs will reach the mid 90s with peak heat indices
104 to 106.
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny then becoming partly cloudy. Chance of showers
and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms until 1300, then 1-8 strikes until
1400, then 9-15 strikes.
Max temperature.....Around 94.
Min humidity........58 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 6 mph in
the afternoon, then shifting to the east around
6 mph late in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic
winds expected near thunderstorms early in the
afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
near thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......1800 ft AGL increasing to 5100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 8 mph shifting to the east around 8
mph late in the afternoon.
Dispersion index....5 increasing to 35.
LVORI...............9 decreasing to 2.
TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........9 5 9 7 25 30 30 35 52 43
Weather cov..... SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........ SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 10 20 30 50 50 50
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 2 3 3 3 3
Temp............78 82 86 88 90 91 92 92 92 89
RH..............97 85 75 70 64 60 58 58 58 61
20 FT wind dir..S S S S S S S SE SE E
20 FT wind spd..2 2 3 3 5 5 6 6 6 6
20 FT wind gust.6 6 8 9 9 10 12 12 13 13
Mix hgt (kft)...1.0 1.8 2.9 4.0 4.3 5.1 5.1 4.3 3.9 3.5
Transp wind dir.S S S S S S S SE SE E
Transp wind spd.6 7 7 8 7 7 6 5 8 8
Dispersion idx..8 15 27 39 37 37 36 30 36 33
LVORI...........6 4 3 3 2 1 1 2 1 1
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Chance of
showers and thunderstorms early in the evening,
then slight chance of showers and thunderstorms
late in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
LAL.................9-15 strikes until 2200, then 1-8 strikes until
2300, then No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 76.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds around 6 mph early in the
evening becoming light. Gusty and erratic winds
expected near thunderstorms in the evening.
Mixing height.......1800 ft AGL decreasing to 500 ft AGL early in
the evening.
Transport winds.....Southeast 7 to 13 mph.
Dispersion index....29 decreasing to 5 early in the evening.
LVORI...............2 increasing to 8.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........30 30 42 30 32 35 18 21 37 32 37 29
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH
Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).50 50 40 30 20 10 10 10 10 10 0 0
LAL.............3 3 3 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............89 88 84 82 81 80 80 79 79 78 78 77
RH..............64 64 72 77 79 85 85 88 88 91 91 97
20 FT wind dir..E SE SE S S S SE SE SE SE SE SE
20 FT wind spd..6 6 6 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 1
20 FT wind gust.12 12 12 9 8 7 7 6 6 6 5 5
Mix hgt (kft)...3.0 1.8 0.9 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.E SE SE S S SE SE SE SE S SE S
Transp wind spd.9 13 12 9 8 7 7 8 7 7 7 7
Dispersion idx..32 26 6 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
LVORI...........1 2 3 4 4 5 5 5 6 6 6 8
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny then becoming
mostly cloudy. Showers likely
and chance of thunderstorms late in the
afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms until 1400, then 9-15 strikes.
Max temperature.....Around 93.
Min humidity........59 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming east 5 to 6 mph in the
afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
near thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......1800 ft AGL increasing to 4100 ft AGL late in
the morning, then increasing to 5300 ft AGL
late in the afternoon decreasing to 2900 ft AGL
late in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 10 mph.
Dispersion index....5 increasing to 39.
LVORI...............9 decreasing to 2.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........20 20 30 44 40 19 36 53 70 70 70 70
Weather cov..... LKY LKY LKY LKY
Weather type.... RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........ CHC CHC CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10 60 60 60 60
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 3 3 3 3
Temp............77 76 78 82 86 88 89 90 91 90 90 89
RH..............100 100 100 88 75 68 65 62 60 60 59 59
20 FT wind dir..SE SE SE S S S SE SE E E E E
20 FT wind spd..1 1 2 2 2 3 3 5 5 5 6 6
20 FT wind gust.5 5 5 5 6 7 8 9 10 12 12 13
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 1.0 1.8 2.6 3.4 4.1 4.7 5.3 4.5 3.7 2.9
Transp wind dir.SE SE S S S S S S S SE SE SE
Transp wind spd.7 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 7 8 10
Dispersion idx..3 3 7 13 19 25 26 29 33 38 40 38
LVORI...........9 9 8 4 3 3 3 2 1 1 1 1
$$
Forecaster...Kelly
Requested by...Dustin Allen
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2417185.0/MLB
.DELDT 07/02/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Dustin.L.Allen@FloridaDEP.gov