Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL
105 FNUS72 KMLB 211259 FWSMLB Spot Forecast for Three Lakes - Dry Prairie...FWC National Weather Service Melbourne FL 859 AM EDT Fri Jun 21 2024 Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on June 21. If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather Service. .DISCUSSION... A weak area of low pressure located offshore near the northeast Florida coast continues to move west-northwest towards the northeast Florida and southern Georgia coasts. Light and variable winds this morning at the burn site are expected to increase into the afternoon from the southeast as the sea breeze pushes inland at 5-10mph. Isolated showers and lightning storms are forecast this afternoon and early evening with the main lightning storm hazards expected to be gusty winds, occasional lightning strikes, and moderate rainfall. Patchy fog this morning with visibility reductions to 1 mile or less has began to dissipate over the area and will continue to dissipate into the mid-morning. Dispersion values will be Fair to Generally Good. An afternoon high of 94 with heat index values near 100 degrees are forecast under partly sunny skies. .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent). Patchy dense fog late in the morning. Slight chance of showers early in the afternoon. Slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. Chance of showers late in the afternoon. Chance of pcpn......30 percent. LAL.................No Tstms until 1300, then 1-8 strikes until 1600, then 9-15 strikes. Max temperature.....Around 94. Min humidity........49 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 8 mph late in the morning. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in the afternoon. Mixing height.......3300 ft AGL increasing to 5900 ft AGL. Transport winds.....South 3 to 7 mph. Dispersion index....10 increasing to 44. LVORI...............4 decreasing to 2 in the afternoon. TIME (EDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........25 23 18 18 30 30 30 30 30 Weather cov.....PTY SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC Weather type....FOG RW RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........ SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH Chc of pcpn (%).10 10 10 10 20 20 20 30 30 LAL.............1 1 1 1 2 2 2 3 3 Temp............80 83 85 87 90 92 94 94 94 RH..............85 77 70 65 58 54 49 49 49 20 FT wind dir..W SW S S S S SE SE SE 20 FT wind spd..3 3 5 5 6 6 7 7 8 20 FT wind gust.6 6 8 10 10 12 12 13 13 Mix hgt (kft)...1.6 2.5 3.3 3.9 4.7 5.4 5.9 5.9 5.2 Transp wind dir.S S S S S S S S SE Transp wind spd.3 3 3 5 6 7 6 7 7 Dispersion idx..7 12 17 23 33 41 39 41 44 LVORI...........4 4 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms early in the evening, then slight chance of showers and thunderstorms early in the evening. Chance of pcpn......30 percent. LAL.................9-15 strikes until 2000, then 1-8 strikes until 2200, then No Tstms. Min temperature.....Around 73. Max humidity........100 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 8 mph in the evening becoming light. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms early in the evening. Mixing height.......4300 ft AGL decreasing to 400 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southeast 8 to 13 mph. Dispersion index....49 decreasing to 5. LVORI...............1 increasing to 8. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM Sky (%).........30 20 20 17 18 16 Weather cov.....CHANCE S CHC Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE NONE Tstm cov........CHANCE S CHC Chc of pcpn (%).30 20 10 10 10 0 LAL.............3 2 1 1 1 1 Temp............91 85 80 77 75 74 RH..............56 70 85 94 97 100 20 ft wind......SE 8 E 8 SE 6 SE 5 SE 3 SE 2 20 ft wind gust.13 13 12 9 7 7 Mix hgt (ft)....4300 1000 600 600 400 400 Transport wind..SE 9 E 13 SE 12 SE 10 SE 9 SE 8 Dispersion idx..49 6 5 5 4 4 LVORI...........1 3 5 6 6 8 .SATURDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms early in the morning. Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms late in the afternoon. Chance of pcpn......60 percent. LAL.................No Tstms until 0800, then 1-8 strikes until 1400, then 9-15 strikes. Max temperature.....Around 93. Min humidity........62 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 9 mph in the late morning and afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms early in the morning. Mixing height.......1800 ft AGL increasing to 4100 ft AGL in the late morning and afternoon. Transport winds.....Southeast 7 to 12 mph. Dispersion index....6 increasing to 48. LVORI...............9 decreasing to 1. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM Sky (%).........12 5 25 43 Weather cov..... CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY Weather type....NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR Tstm cov........ S CHC S CHC CHANCE Chc of pcpn (%).0 30 30 60 LAL.............1 2 2 3 Temp............74 81 89 91 RH..............100 91 66 63 20 FT wind......SE 2G6 SE 3G7 SE 7G12 SE 9G14 Mix hgt (ft)....400 1800 3600 4100 Transport wind..SE 7 SE 8 SE 9 SE 10 Dispersion idx..3 18 38 48 LVORI...........9 4 3 1 $$ Forecaster...Fehling Requested by...Steve Glass Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2416483.0/MLB .DELDT 06/21/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL steve.glass@myfwc.com