Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL
110
FNUS72 KMLB 250949
FWSMLB
Spot Forecast for C-266 Maple Grove...USFS
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
549 AM EDT Tue Jun 25 2024
Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EDT on June 25.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...
A typical summertime pattern continues with high coverage of showers
and storms. Scattered showers and lightning storms will develop ahead
of and along the east coast sea breeze. Coverage further increases
into the late afternoon and evening as the east and west coast sea
breezes collide in vicinity of the burn site. Light winds out of the
west to southwest will be variable at times. Winds are forecast to
remain light behind the sea breeze (10 mph or less). Poor smoke
dispersion is expected.
High temperatures will warm into the mid 90s. Persistent muggy
conditions will produce heat index values up to 106 degrees,
and a Moderate Heat Risk exists today.
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Showers likely
and chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms until 1200, then 1-8 strikes until
1300, then 9-15 strikes.
Max temperature.....Around 94.
Min humidity........58 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......1600 ft AGL increasing to 4700 ft AGL late in
the morning, then increasing to 5100 ft AGL
late in the afternoon decreasing to 2700 ft AGL
late in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....West 3 to 6 mph shifting to the southeast
around 3 mph early in the afternoon, then
shifting to the southwest 3 to 5 mph late in
the afternoon shifting to the northwest around
7 mph late in the afternoon.
Dispersion index....3 increasing to 24.
LVORI...............10 decreasing to 2.
TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........51 38 35 24 26 26 35 42 58 71
Weather cov..... SCH CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY
Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........ SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).0 10 10 10 20 30 40 50 60 70
LAL.............1 1 1 1 2 3 3 3 3 3
Temp............77 81 85 88 90 91 92 92 91 92
RH..............97 85 75 68 63 60 58 58 60 58
20 FT wind dir..SW W W W SW SW S S SW NW
20 FT wind spd..1 1 1 2 2 2 3 3 3 3
20 FT wind gust.5 5 6 7 7 8 9 9 10 10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 1.6 2.8 4.0 4.7 5.1 4.7 4.3 3.9 2.7
Transp wind dir.W W W W W W SE SW W NW
Transp wind spd.5 6 6 5 3 3 3 3 5 7
Dispersion idx..4 12 21 23 22 22 23 24 25 25
LVORI...........8 4 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly to partly cloudy. Showers likely
and chance of thunderstorms early in the
evening. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms late in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
LAL.................9-15 strikes until 2100, then 1-8 strikes until
2300, then No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 73.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
near thunderstorms in the evening.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL decreasing to 400 ft AGL late in the
evening.
Transport winds.....South around 8 mph shifting to the north early
in the evening, then shifting to the northwest
around 6 mph early in the evening shifting to
the southwest 6 to 7 mph in the late evening
and overnight shifting to the west around 6
mph.
Dispersion index....24 decreasing to 3.
LVORI...............3 increasing to 9.
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
Sky (%).........68 61 52 52 26 25
Weather cov.....LIKELY CHANCE S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE
Tstm cov........CHANCE CHANCE S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).70 40 20 10 0 0
LAL.............3 3 2 1 1 1
Temp............89 84 78 77 76 74
RH..............64 74 91 93 94 100
20 ft wind......SE 3 SW 2 S 1 SW 1 SW 1 SW 1
20 ft wind gust.10 8 6 5 5 3
Mix hgt (ft)....2400 700 800 400 400 400
Transport wind..S 8 NW 6 S 7 SW 7 SW 6 W 6
Dispersion idx..24 3 3 3 2 3
LVORI...........2 3 6 6 7 8
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Chance of showers
and thunderstorms early in the morning. Showers
likely late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms until 0800, then 9-15 strikes.
Max temperature.....Around 93.
Min humidity........60 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest around 5 mph
late in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds
expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......1500 ft AGL increasing to 3900 ft AGL late in
the morning, then increasing to 5000 ft AGL
early in the afternoon decreasing to 2900 ft
AGL late in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 13 mph.
Dispersion index....4 increasing to 26 late in the morning increasing
to increasing to 51 decreasing to 38 late in the
afternoon.
LVORI...............10 decreasing to 1.
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
Sky (%).........27 46 54 53
Weather cov..... CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY
Weather type....NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........ CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
Chc of pcpn (%).0 50 50 70
LAL.............1 3 3 3
Temp............74 79 87 90
RH..............100 92 72 64
20 FT wind......W 1G3 W 1G5 W 3G9 W 5G10
Mix hgt (ft)....400 1500 3900 4000
Transport wind..W 6 W 6 W 7 W 9
Dispersion idx..3 12 38 51
LVORI...........9 5 3 1
$$
Forecaster...Law
Requested by...Jessica Vincent
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2416609.1/MLB
.DELDT 06/25/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL jessica.e.vincent@usda.gov