Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Twin Cities, MN
Issued by NWS Twin Cities, MN
080 FNUS73 KMPX 231255 FWSMPX Spot Forecast for Vermillion Rx...MN DNR National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN 755 AM CDT Thu May 23 2024 Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 CDT on May 23. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. Please contact our office if you have questions or concerns with this forecast. .DISCUSSION... Light winds out of the south at ignition will increase to 10-15 mph this afternoon. RH values are in the upper 60s and low 70s this morning and will fall between 40-45 percent this afternoon. Precipitation chances are low today, but showers and thunderstorms will become likely overnight. .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Temperature.........60 at ignition...Max 78. RH..................72 percent at ignition...Min 42 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Winds south at 3 mph at ignition...otherwise Light winds becoming south 5 to 9 mph in the late morning and afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Poor /5400 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...excellent /98300 knot-ft/. Mixing height.......600 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 6200 ft AGL. Transport winds.....South 10 to 18 mph. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth at ignition...max 5. TIME (CDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM Sky cover.......PC PC MCR PC PC PC PC PC PC PC MCR MCR Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ Temp............60 63 68 71 73 74 75 76 77 77 76 74 RH..............72 72 61 55 49 48 45 43 42 42 45 50 20 FT wind dir..S S S S S S S S S S S S 20 FT wind spd..3 5 6 7 8 9 9 9 9 9 9 8 20 FT wind gust.8 10 12 13 14 15 15 16 16 16 15 15 Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 1.3 2.2 4.4 5.9 6.2 6.1 6.2 6.1 5.7 4.0 1.9 Transp wind dir.SW S S SW SW S S S S S S S Transp wind spd.10 13 14 15 15 16 15 17 18 18 18 16 Haines index....5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent) then becoming mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms overnight. Temperature.........Min 59. RH..................Max 84 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 7 to 10 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms overnight. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms after 3 am. Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (63800 knot-ft) early in the evening decreasing to poor (7200 knot-ft) late in the night. Mixing height.......600 ft AGL. Transport winds.....South 15 to 18 mph. Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .FRIDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Showers in the morning. Chance of thunderstorms through the day. Showers likely in the afternoon. Temperature.........Max 71. RH..................Min 58 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 12 to 14 mph shifting to the west around 16 mph late in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in the morning and early afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (12900 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to excellent (98100 knot-ft) in the afternoon. Mixing height.......4700 ft AGL. Transport winds.....South 20 to 22 mph shifting to the west 21 to 25 mph in the afternoon. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. $$ Forecaster...Strus Requested by...Kevin Berens Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2414989.0/MPX .DELDT 05/23/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL kevin.berens@state.mn.us