271
FNUS73 KMPX 290943
FWSMPX

Spot Forecast for Numo WMA Rx...Minnesota DNR
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
443 AM CDT Wed May 29 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on May 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

Please contact our office if you have questions or concerns with
this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
For the Numo WMA Rx Burn, conditions will be mostly sunny today
with temperatures in the low 60s at ignition time and warming into
the low 70s this afternoon. Calm winds this morning will increase
out of the SE between 10-15 kts with a occasional gusts near
20kts. Min RH levels will reach the mid 30 percents late this
afternoon.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent).
Temperature.........62 at ignition...Max 73.
RH..................60 percent at ignition...Min 36 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds southeast at 6 mph at
                    ignition...otherwise Southeast winds 6 to 12
                    mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair /18900 knot-ft/ at ignition.
                    Max...excellent /83400 knot-ft/.
Mixing height.......2400 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 6000 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 9 to 16 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth at ignition...max 4.

TIME (CDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM
Sky cover.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............62  65  67  69  70  72  72  72  73  71  69  64
RH..............60  54  49  44  41  38  37  37  36  39  43  52
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..6   7   8   9   10  12  10  12  13  13  10  10
20 FT wind gust.9   10  13  14  15  16  17  17  18  18  18  18
Mix hgt (kft)...2.4 3.9 4.4 5.2 5.5 5.7 6.0 5.9 5.8 4.9 0.5 0.4
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   SE  SE
Transp wind spd.9   9   10  10  12  14  16  16  16  18  16  16
Haines index....4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Temperature.........Min 56.
RH..................Max 76 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 10 to 13 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (81600 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (6300 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 16 to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers in the morning, then rain showers
                    likely and chance of thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
Temperature.........Max 75.
RH..................Min 52 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 14 to 20 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (9400 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (89200 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......3500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 20 to 25 mph increasing to 26 to 30 mph
                    in the late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

$$
Forecaster...Dunleavy
Requested by...Area Wildlife Supervisor
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2415253.0/MPX
.DELDT 05/29/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL cory.netland@state.mn.us