795
FNUS75 KMSO 151551
FWSMSO

Spot Forecast for Spuce Up RX
National Weather Service Missoula MT
951 AM MDT Sat Jun 15 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 MDT on June 15.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Cloudy with persistent rain and snow showers today.
While the synoptic flow is strong this afternoon, I`m not sure how
much this spot will experience the stronger wind gusts due to the
protected, easterly aspect. I added more of a southerly component
to the westerly winds today and I lessened the winds lower than
what the NBM had. I wouldn`t doubt that the wind direction could
be more variable. The instability will be meager today, so the
chance for thunderstorms is real low. If they were to occur it
would be between 1 and 3 pm PDT. Much less chance for
precipitation this evening through Sunday. The moisture from today
could limit the minimum RH Sunday from getting below 32%.
Increasing clouds on Sunday. 1 to 3 inches of snow possible Sunday
night, and another 1 to 4 inches of snow Monday morning.

.REST OF TODAY...

* Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain and snow late
  in the morning, then rain showers, snow showers likely and slight
  chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...60 percent.
* Chance Lightning....10 percent.
* Max Temperature.....43-47.
* Min Humidity........40-45 percent.
* Wind (20 ft)........Northwest 8-15 mph becoming west-southwest
  11 to 15 mph with gusts to 25 mph by late afternoon.
* Mixing Height.......3000 ft agl increasing to 4500 ft agl late in
  the afternoon.
* Mixing Winds........West 20 mph becoming West 25 mph.
* Precip Amount.......0.14 inches.

.TONIGHT...

* Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy.
* CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...10 percent.
* Chance Lightning....Up to 10 percent.
* Min Temperature.....27-32.
* Max Humidity........80-85 percent.
* Wind (20 ft)........Southwest 6-13 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph in
  the evening.
* Mixing Height.......3500 ft agl decreasing to less than 100 ft
  agl in the late evening and overnight.
* Mixing Winds........West 15 mph.
* Precip Amount.......0.01 inches.

.SUNDAY...

* Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy in the morning. Cloudy in the
  afternoon.
* CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...0 percent.
* Chance Lightning....0 percent.
* Max Temperature.....47-52.
* Min Humidity........29-35 percent.
* Wind (20 ft)........Variable 3 to 6 mph becoming upslope 4 to 7
  mph. There may be southeast 5 to 9 mph at times in the late
  afternoon.
* Mixing Height.......3000 ft agl increasing to 6500 ft agl in the
  late morning and afternoon.
* Mixing Winds........West 10 mph.
* Precip Amount.......0.00 inches.

$$
Forecaster...Noble
Requested by...Kevin Barger
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2416167.0/MSO
.DELDT 06/15/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL idgvc@firenet.gov