Offshore Forecast
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
456 FZNT25 KNHC 151521 OFFN04 NAVTEX Marine Forecast NWS National Hurricane Center Miami, FL 1121 AM EDT Sat Jun 15 2024 ...Please refer to Coastal Waters Forecasts (CWF) available through NOAA Weather Radio and other means for detailed Coastal Waters Forecasts... Southeast Gulf of Mexico .SYNOPSIS...A surface trough extending from N central Florida to the Yucatan Peninsula will shift NW and dissipate through tonight. A broad low to middle level cyclonic circulation, a Central American Gyre, is centered over the Yucatan Peninsula and Central America this morning, and is expected to become better organized this weekend, as it drifts westward. Environmental conditions appear conducive for a tropical cyclone to develop from this broad area of low pressure, and a tropical depression could form over the southwestern Gulf during the middle part of next week. Active convection across the southeast Gulf this morning, along with increasing winds and building seas, are expected with this system in the early to mid part of next week, mainly impacting the south-central and northwest Gulf. .THIS AFTERNOON...SE to S winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .TONIGHT...SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .SUN...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .SUN NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .MON...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .MON NIGHT...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .TUE...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .TUE NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .WED...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .WED NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Within 200 nm east of the coast of Florida .SYNOPSIS...Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms persist east of a trough reaching from roughly 31N73W to central Florida. Gusty winds, higher seas and frequent lightning remain possible with this convective activity. To the east, 1030 mb Atlantic high pressure is centered near 35N36W. The trough will shift eastward and exit the region through early next week, with active convection continuing ahead of it. Looking ahead, expect fresh E winds west of 70W by late Tue, as high pressure builds north of the area, behind the exiting trough. .THIS AFTERNOON...SW winds 5 to 10 kt, shifting to NW to N in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft or less. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .TONIGHT...NE winds 10 to 15 kt S of 27N, and N 5 to 10 kt N of 27N. Seas 2 ft or less. .SUN...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt S of 27N, and NE 10 to 15 kt N of 27N. Seas 2 ft or less. .SUN NIGHT...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. .MON NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .TUE...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .TUE NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .WED...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .WED NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.