763
FXUS64 KOHX 181659
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1159 AM CDT Tue Jun 18 2024

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.SHORT TERM...
(Rest of today through Wednesday)
Issued at 1159 AM CDT Tue Jun 18 2024

Will keep a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms for
locations west of I-65 Corridor and for locations approaching the
TN/KY Border Region through mid afternoon hours today. Otherwise
building upper level ridging influences building in from the east
along with a continuance of southerly based low level flow will
provide for dry but seasonally warm temperatures through Wednesday
afternoon. Current regional temperature trends continue to support
forecasted high temperatures for the afternoon hours today ranging
generally upper 80s to lower 90s, mid 80s higher elevations of
Cumberland Plateau Region. Lows tonight will be seasonably mild
ranging generally in the low to mid 70s, upper 60s to around 70
Cumberland Plateau Region. Highs on Wednesday will be like those
experienced this afternoon. Prevalence of scattered to broken
high level cloudiness at times will inhibit max heating potential
and thus not expecting temperatures to get significantly warmer
than these values despite enhancing upper level ridging
influences.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday Night through next Tuesday)
Issued at 1159 AM CDT Tue Jun 18 2024

Upper level ridging influences will continue to build and
strengthen across our area at least through Saturday afternoon
with a diffuse southerly low level atmospheric flow continuing.
Dry conditions will continue to prevail. Temperatures will
continue to warm, with highs in low to mid 90s on Thursday with
the century mark certainly not out of the question for the
Nashville Metro Area and other locations west of Cumberland
Plateau Region on Saturday. Relative humidity values during
afternoon hours Thursday through Saturday will have a decreasing
values trend, so not expecting heat index values to become a
factor. Finally upper level ridging begins to weaken as second
half of weekend into first part of next work week progresses with
a more northwesterly flow pattern aloft potentially developing
ushering in upper level disturbances in flow. Another century mark
day could be in store for Nashville Metro Area on Sunday, with
mid to upper 90s for other locations west of Cumberland Plateau
Region, lower 90s across these locations, with isolated to
scattered showers and thunderstorms possible, with temperatures
established west of Cumberland Plateau Region in low to mid 90s,
around 90 Cumberland Plateau Region, with enough humidity now to
support heat index values west of Cumberland Plateau Region in the
100 to 105 range with nighttime lows in low to mid 70s, upper 60s
to around 70 for locations just west of and across Cumberland
Plateau Region.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 610 AM CDT Tue Jun 18 2024

VFR conditions through the TAF period. SCT to BKN clouds 040-060
with BKN to OVC high level clouds. Isolated showers and t-storms
possible along the KY/TN boarder between 18 and 00z. Light
southerly winds under 8 knots.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      93  74  92  72 /  10  10   0   0
Clarksville    90  72  89  69 /  30  10   0   0
Crossville     86  65  86  64 /  10  10   0   0
Columbia       91  71  90  68 /  10  10   0   0
Cookeville     88  69  88  68 /  10  10   0   0
Jamestown      87  66  88  67 /  20  10   0   0
Lawrenceburg   90  71  88  67 /  10  10   0   0
Murfreesboro   92  71  91  69 /  10  10   0   0
Waverly        90  72  88  69 /  20  10   0   0

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...JB Wright
LONG TERM....JB Wright
AVIATION.....Mueller