Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK
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283 FXUS64 KOUN 251127 AFDOUN Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Norman OK 627 AM CDT Wed Sep 25 2024 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 627 AM CDT Wed Sep 25 2024 - A Dense Fog Advisory will continue across central and east- central Oklahoma through 9 AM this morning. Visibility as low as one-quarter of a mile can be expected in dense fog. - Seasonable and mostly dry weather is forecast over the next week. Only a low (20%) chance of showers across eastern Oklahoma on Friday into Saturday. && .SHORT TERM... (Today and tonight) Issued at 300 AM CDT Wed Sep 25 2024 Other than concern for areas of dense fog (central/east-central) and a few departing showers and thunderstorms (southeast Oklahoma) this morning, a low impact weather day is expected. Behind the passage of a surface front, winds have gone light and skies have cleared. Combined with locally heavy rainfall last evening, areas of fog are emerging. This includes locally dense pockets (<0.25-mile visibility). Concern for dense fog is expected to persist through ~9 AM this morning. Otherwise, in the wake of a frontal/upper low passage, cool and dry surface weather is forecast. In addition to seasonable temperatures (upper-70s to mid-80s), a dry (post-frontal) airmass will create very pleasant feeling conditions during the day today. Ungar && .LONG TERM... (Thursday through Tuesday) Issued at 300 AM CDT Wed Sep 25 2024 The current expectation is for surface conditions on Thursday to closely mirror those observed on Wednesday (upper-70s to 80s ambient temperatures and dry conditions). By Friday, guidance continues to show a closed upper system across the Mid-South strengthening as it interacts with Tropical Cyclone Helene. While this feature is expected to retrograde some, dprog/dt over past model cycles has been for the system to remain further east of our area. In turn, chances for (scattered) precipitation during the late week continue to decrease over past updates. Only low-to- very low (up to 20%) chances exist from Friday into Saturday across eastern Oklahoma. A thunderstorm or two is also possible, though severe weather is not anticipated. Seasonable (high temperatures in the 80s) and dry weather is then expected from the weekend into next week. Ungar && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 627 AM CDT Wed Sep 25 2024 Dense fog and LIFR ceilings have developed over much of central Oklahoma. These should dissipate by mid morning. After that, VFR conditions will prevail. Winds will remain light. Day && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Oklahoma City OK 80 56 78 55 / 0 0 0 0 Hobart OK 85 55 84 54 / 0 0 0 0 Wichita Falls TX 85 57 85 56 / 0 0 0 0 Gage OK 84 53 83 51 / 0 0 0 0 Ponca City OK 81 53 81 54 / 0 0 0 0 Durant OK 83 57 83 58 / 0 0 0 0 && .OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OK...Dense Fog Advisory until 9 AM CDT this morning for OKZ013-019- 020-024>032-040-042. TX...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...34 LONG TERM....34 AVIATION...14