858
FXUS64 KOUN 170751
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
251 AM CDT Mon Jun 17 2024

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 250 AM CDT Mon Jun 17 2024

Oklahoma will exist between week southwesterly flow aloft to the
north and an upper ridge to the south. The hot and humid airmass
will keep temperatures 5 to 10 degrees above average today. it will
be quiet windy today with a strong lee trough over eastern Colorado.
Sustained speeds and gusts are expected to remain just below
advisory criteria today.
&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday through Sunday)
Issued at 250 AM CDT Mon Jun 17 2024

Earlier in the week, weak southwesterly flow will remain
to the north of Oklahoma with an upper ridge to the south. Hot and
humid conditions will continue. Gusty south winds will continue with
the strong southeast Colorado surface low and front extending
northeastward. This front is expected to approach northwestern
Oklahoma early Wednesday with low thunderstorm chances. Also by
Wednesday, the synoptic pattern will become more mid-summer like
with a very strong upper high over the eastern half of the U.S. and
with its ridge extending into Oklahoma and eastern New Mexico. This
will keep temperatures above normal and low storm chances around the
periphery of the ridge through most of the week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1102 PM CDT Sun Jun 16 2024

The models have backed off a little bit with the magnitude of the
low-level jet. There will still be some low-level wind shear to
deal with overnight, but the magnitude of the shear vector is
forecast to be just under the 30-knot threshold to mention LLWS
in the TAFs, except for KWWR.

Some MVFR ceilings will likely move into KDUA in the morning.
Later in the morning, southerly surface winds will increase and
become gusty.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  91  74  90  72 /   0   0   0   0
Hobart OK         93  73  92  71 /   0   0   0   0
Wichita Falls TX  93  75  92  72 /   0   0   0   0
Gage OK           96  72  94  69 /  10  10   0  10
Ponca City OK     93  74  92  72 /   0   0   0   0
Durant OK         91  72  91  72 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...09
LONG TERM....09
AVIATION...26