Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK
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625 FXUS64 KOUN 141713 AFDOUN Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Norman OK 1213 PM CDT Fri Jun 14 2024 ...New AVIATION... .SHORT TERM... (Today and tonight) Issued at 229 AM CDT Fri Jun 14 2024 The heat wave intensifies today as a mid-summer-style upper ridge prevails over Oklahoma and northern Texas This will be associated with afternoon temperatures 6 to 12 degrees F. above late-Spring normals. By early Saturday morning, a short-wave trough is expected to have moved into eastern Colorado and the Texas panhandle. This will again bring a chance for storms to northwestern Oklahoma with some gusty winds. && .LONG TERM... (Saturday through Thursday) Issued at 229 AM CDT Fri Jun 14 2024 The short-wave trough is expected to translate slowly through the central and southern plains on Saturday and early Sunday. The upper ridge will be suppressed a bit south, extending from the Big Bend area into the Tennessee valley. In the homogeneously humid air mass, the trough will bring a chance for thunderstorms to at least northern Oklahoma Saturday and Sunday. By the beginning of the week, the upper ridge builds northward again as a large upper low keeps a general trough over the Great Basin and southwesterly flow to the north of Oklahoma. This will maintain the late-Spring heat wave into mid-week with low thunderstorm chances. By mid-week a front may move into Oklahoma from the north to bring a brief relief to the heat and a better chance for showers and storms. This boundary, even as it weakens, may continue the better chance for showers/storms into Thursday. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1211 PM CDT Fri Jun 14 2024 VFR conditions expected to prevail. Scattered TSRA will try to approach western portions of Oklahoma toward and after 04Z, will confine PROB30 to KWWR overnight. Otherwise, increasing high clouds and return to southerly winds through the forecast period. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Oklahoma City OK 95 70 93 74 / 0 0 0 10 Hobart OK 98 71 95 73 / 0 0 0 10 Wichita Falls TX 95 70 94 75 / 0 0 0 0 Gage OK 98 70 95 70 / 0 10 20 20 Ponca City OK 95 70 95 74 / 10 0 0 10 Durant OK 94 69 94 73 / 0 0 0 0 && .OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OK...None. TX...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...09 LONG TERM....09 AVIATION...11