534
FXUS63 KPAH 270759
AFDPAH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Paducah KY
259 AM CDT Mon May 27 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Dry and pleasant weather is expected through at least
  Thursday.

- Chances of thunderstorms return to the forecast Friday through
  next Monday. No severe weather or heavy rainfall is expected.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 259 AM CDT Mon May 27 2024

A upper-level trough over the Great Lakes will keep the Quad
State under cyclonic northwest flow aloft through Thursday.
Impulses riding through the flow may try to spit out some light
showers or sprinkles from time to time, but measurable rainfall
is not anticipated.

A skinny upper ridge will build over the region Thursday night
into Friday. The 00Z guidance still cannot agree on how long it
will hold up over the area. It could break down Friday night
into Saturday or over the second half of next weekend. Once the
ridge breaks down, a weak zonal flow aloft will develop with
impulses bringing daily chances of showers and storms to the
Quad State. There are no signs of heavy rainfall or severe
weather through this period.

Temperatures will be at or below normal through the week, with
the coolest air expected Wednesday into Thursday. Highs then
will be in the 70s with lows in the 50s. A modest warming trend
to near or slightly above normal levels is expected through the
weekend and into next week.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY/...
Issued at 1234 AM CDT Mon May 27 2024

The last of the rain will exit the region in the next hour or
two. A stray lightning strike will be possible at KOWB for the
next hour. Otherwise, the main concern is for some LIFR ceilings
spreading southeast behind the cold front. It would most likely
impact KMVN, but could reach much of the area. It should
scatter out or lift by around 15Z. West northwest winds could
gust to around 20kts in the afternoon.

&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...None.
MO...None.
IN...None.
KY...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...DRS
AVIATION...DRS