Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ
383 FNUS55 KPSR 252027 FWFPSR Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest and South-Central Arizona and Southeast California National Weather Service Phoenix AZ 127 PM MST Tue Jun 25 2024 .DISCUSSION... Monsoonal moisture will continue to result in daily chances for shower and thunderstorm activity. The higher terrain areas will see the greatest potential with some locally heavy rainfall with any storms that develop. Best chances for storms are today, with a gradual decrease in chances/coverage through Friday, where chances drop around 15% or lower. Chances for wetting rains will generally remain around 10-20% for the higher terrain areas and 5-10% for the lower deserts of south-central Arizona today, before dropping below 10% across the region starting Thursday. With the elevated moisture in place, MinRH values through the middle of this week will range between 30-40% across the far eastern districts to between 15-25% across the western districts before slowly drying during the latter half of this week. Winds will follow their typical daily tendencies, with gusty outflows from any thunderstorm activity anticipated over the next several days. Temperatures average several degrees above normal through the forecast period. ...Thunderstorms imply gusty winds... Note...Additional Fire Weather Forecast information can be found in the Area Forecast Discussion. See product PHXAFDPSR. AZZ132-260830- West Central Deserts/Northwest Maricopa County/Greater Phoenix Area/Southwest Deserts/Southwest Maricopa County/ Northwest and North-Central Pinal County- Phoenix BLM/YUM BLM/CAZ-CRZ- 127 PM MST Tue Jun 25 2024 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Partly cloudy. * Min Temperature.................82-92. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................35-50 pct. * 24 hr trend..................8 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable. * Chance of Precip................10 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .WEDNESDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature.................103-109. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................19-24 pct. * 24 hr trend..................3 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Phoenix.......7500 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Phoenix......West 10 knots. * Dispersion for Phoenix..........Very good. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................81-91. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................33-46 pct. * 24 hr trend..................3 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .THURSDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................103-109. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................18-22 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Phoenix.......8300 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Phoenix......Southwest 11 knots. * Dispersion for Phoenix..........Very good. .EXTENDED... .FRIDAY...Clear. Lows 79-89. Highs 102-108. Southwest winds 10 to 20 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 79-89. Highs 103-109. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 80-90. Highs 105-111. South winds 5 to 15 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 81-91. Highs 103-110. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers. Lows 81-91. Highs 103-109. $$ AZZ131-CAZ231-260830- Yuma/Martinez Lake and Vicinity/Lower Colorado River Valley AZ- Lower Colorado River Valley CA- 127 PM MST Tue Jun 25 2024 /127 PM PDT Tue Jun 25 2024/ .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................82-87. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................38-51 pct. * 24 hr trend..................3 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .WEDNESDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature.................106-111. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................19-23 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 5 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Yuma..........6300 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Yuma.........South 10 knots. * Dispersion for Yuma.............Good. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................81-86. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................39-53 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .THURSDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................107-112. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................16-22 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Yuma..........6500 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Yuma.........South 12 knots. * Dispersion for Yuma.............Very good. .EXTENDED... .FRIDAY...Clear. Lows 78-83. Highs 106-111. South winds 10 to 20 mph. .SATURDAY...Clear. Lows 79-84. Highs 106-111. South winds 5 to 15 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 80-85. Highs 108-113. South winds 10 to 20 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .MONDAY...Clear. Lows 80-85. Highs 107-112. .TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 81-86. Highs 107-112. $$ AZZ133-260830- Southern Gila County/Tonto National Forest Foothills- Southern Tonto NF/West San Carlos BIA/South Portion Ft Apache BIA/ CAZ- 127 PM MST Tue Jun 25 2024 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening. * Min Temperature.................69-84. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................50-68 pct. * 24 hr trend..................6 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............West 5 to 15 mph in the evening becoming light and variable after midnight. * Chance of Precip................20 percent in the evening becoming 10 percent after midnight. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................2 in the evening becoming 1 after midnight. .WEDNESDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................90-104. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................22-31 pct. * 24 hr trend..................3 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable in the morning becoming west 5 to 15 mph in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................10 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Partly cloudy. Slight chance of thunderstorms in the evening. slight chance of showers . * Min Temperature.................69-84. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................43-65 pct. * 24 hr trend..................5 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............West 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................10 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................2 in the evening becoming 1 after midnight. .THURSDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature.................90-104. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................20-30 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............West 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .EXTENDED... .FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 68-83. Highs 89-104. Southwest winds 10 to 20 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers. Lows 69-83. Highs 91-105. West winds 5 to 15 mph. .SUNDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 69-84. Highs 90-105. South winds 5 to 15 mph. .MONDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows 69-84. Highs 88-104. .TUESDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 68-84. Highs 89-104. $$ CAZ232-260830- Imperial County And Eastern Riverside County- 127 PM PDT Tue Jun 25 2024 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................82-88. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................31-47 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .WEDNESDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................102-112. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................16-23 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................81-87. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................28-52 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable in the evening becoming southwest 5 to 15 mph after midnight. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .THURSDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................103-113. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................13-20 pct. * 24 hr trend..................3 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........4 low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .EXTENDED... .FRIDAY...Clear. Lows 75-85. Highs 102-112. Southwest winds 10 to 20 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .SATURDAY...Clear. Lows 75-85. Highs 102-112. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .SUNDAY...Clear. Lows 78-86. Highs 104-114. Southwest winds 10 to 20 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .MONDAY...Clear. Lows 78-86. Highs 103-113. .TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 78-87. Highs 103-112. $$ CAZ230-260830- Joshua Tree National Park- 127 PM PDT Tue Jun 25 2024 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................71-85. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................33-42 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .WEDNESDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................92-107. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................17-23 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Clear. * Min Temperature.................70-84. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................28-36 pct. * 24 hr trend..................6 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable in the evening becoming southwest 5 to 15 mph after midnight. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .THURSDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................92-108. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................13-21 pct. * 24 hr trend..................3 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........4 low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .EXTENDED... .FRIDAY...Clear. Lows 64-80. Highs 91-106. Southwest winds 10 to 20 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .SATURDAY...Clear. Lows 64-79. Highs 91-106. Southwest winds 10 to 20 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .SUNDAY...Clear. Lows 66-80. Highs 92-107. Southwest winds 10 to 20 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .MONDAY...Clear. Lows 67-81. Highs 92-107. .TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 68-82. Highs 92-107. $$ .8 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK...Tuesday July 2nd through Thursday July 4th: Above normal temperatures and precipitation.