Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ
985 FNUS55 KPSR 072205 FWFPSR Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest and South-Central Arizona and Southeast California National Weather Service Phoenix AZ 305 PM MST Fri Jun 7 2024 .DISCUSSION... Hot and dry conditions will continue to support a high fire danger across the area. Isolated dry thunderstorms developing in the vicinity of the far eastern districts (over the White Mountains and high terrain of Southeast Arizona) could lead to an increased risk of lightning-caused fire starts through the remainder of today, however, dry thunder chances over the eastern districts remain below 10 percent. Another day of excessive heat is forecast across most of the lower deserts with highs near 110 degrees before a gradual cooldown over the weekend. Winds will generally favor diurnal tendencies with sustained speeds below 15 mph along with occasional afternoon breeziness of upwards of 20-25 mph. MinRHs ranging from the upper single digits to around 15% along with poor to fair overnight recoveries between 20-40% will be common. ...Thunderstorms imply gusty winds... Note...Additional Fire Weather Forecast information can be found in the Area Forecast Discussion. See product PHXAFDPSR. AZZ132-081015- West Central Deserts/Northwest Maricopa County/Greater Phoenix Area/Southwest Deserts/Southwest Maricopa County/ Northwest and North-Central Pinal County- Phoenix BLM/YUM BLM/CAZ-CRZ- 305 PM MST Fri Jun 7 2024 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................72-82. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................25-38 pct. * 24 hr trend..................3 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .SATURDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature.................102-108. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................7-12 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........6 high potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Phoenix.......11400 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Phoenix......Southwest 11 knots. * Dispersion for Phoenix..........Excellent. .SATURDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Partly cloudy. * Min Temperature.................72-82. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................24-39 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .SUNDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature.................97-104. * 24 hr trend..................4 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................7-14 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........6 high potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Phoenix.......11900 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Phoenix......South 10 knots. * Dispersion for Phoenix..........Excellent. .EXTENDED... .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 68-78. Highs 98-103. South winds 5 to 10 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 69-79. Highs 102-108. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 71-81. Highs 104-110. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 71-81. Highs 102-108. .FRIDAY...Clear. Lows 70-80. Highs 100-105. $$ AZZ131-CAZ231-081015- Yuma/Martinez Lake and Vicinity/Lower Colorado River Valley AZ- Lower Colorado River Valley CA- 305 PM MST Fri Jun 7 2024 /305 PM PDT Fri Jun 7 2024/ .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................73-78. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................36-47 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .SATURDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature.................103-108. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................11-15 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........5 moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Yuma..........8500 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Yuma.........Southwest 9 knots. * Dispersion for Yuma.............Very good. .SATURDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................73-78. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................30-47 pct. * 24 hr trend..................5 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .SUNDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature.................101-106. * 24 hr trend..................3 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................10-15 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........5 moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Yuma..........8400 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Yuma.........Southwest 9 knots. * Dispersion for Yuma.............Good. .EXTENDED... .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 70-75. Highs 100-105. South winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 71-77. Highs 104-109. South winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 72-77. Highs 105-110. South winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 72-77. Highs 104-109. .FRIDAY...Clear. Lows 71-76. Highs 102-107. $$ AZZ133-081015- Southern Gila County/Tonto National Forest Foothills- Southern Tonto NF/West San Carlos BIA/South Portion Ft Apache BIA/ CAZ- 305 PM MST Fri Jun 7 2024 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................63-75. * 24 hr trend..................3 degrees cooler. * Max Humidity....................23-32 pct. * 24 hr trend..................4 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .SATURDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature.................89-104. * 24 hr trend..................3 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................6-10 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........6 high potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .SATURDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Partly cloudy. * Min Temperature.................63-75. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................21-31 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .SUNDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. * Max Temperature.................86-101. * 24 hr trend..................3 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................7-11 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 15 to 25 mph in the morning becoming 5 to 15 mph in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........6 high potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .EXTENDED... .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 58-72. Highs 86-101. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 59-75. Highs 91-106. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 62-76. Highs 94-108. West winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 61-76. Highs 92-106. .FRIDAY...Clear. Lows 59-74. Highs 89-102. $$ CAZ232-081015- Imperial County And Eastern Riverside County- 305 PM PDT Fri Jun 7 2024 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................74-80. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................32-49 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 5 to 15 mph in the evening becoming light and variable after midnight. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .SATURDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature.................99-108. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................11-17 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........5 moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .SATURDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................71-77. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................26-45 pct. * 24 hr trend..................6 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .SUNDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature.................96-105. * 24 hr trend..................3 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................7-13 pct. * 24 hr trend..................3 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........5 moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .EXTENDED... .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 69-78. Highs 95-104. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 71-80. Highs 99-108. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 72-80. Highs 100-109. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 71-79. Highs 98-108. .FRIDAY...Clear. Lows 71-78. Highs 97-107. $$ CAZ230-081015- Joshua Tree National Park- 305 PM PDT Fri Jun 7 2024 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................65-78. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................32-44 pct. * 24 hr trend..................7 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .SATURDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature.................87-103. * 24 hr trend..................3 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................13-22 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 5 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........4 low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .SATURDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................61-75. * 24 hr trend..................3 degrees cooler. * Max Humidity....................22-33 pct. * 24 hr trend..................10 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable in the evening becoming south 5 to 15 mph after midnight. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .SUNDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature.................84-100. * 24 hr trend..................3 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................8-17 pct. * 24 hr trend..................5 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........5 moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .EXTENDED... .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 60-75. Highs 85-99. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 63-77. Highs 89-103. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 64-77. Highs 89-105. Southwest winds 10 to 20 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 61-76. Highs 87-102. .FRIDAY...Clear. Lows 61-76. Highs 87-102. $$ .8 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK...Saturday June 15th through Monday June 17th: Above normal temperatures and near median precipitation.