Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ
902 FNUS55 KPSR 070833 FWFPSR Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest and South-Central Arizona and Southeast California National Weather Service Phoenix AZ 133 AM MST Fri Jun 7 2024 .DISCUSSION... Hot and dry conditions will continue to support a high fire danger across the area. Isolated dry thunderstorms developing near the vicinity of the White Mountains, Mogollon Rim, and the far eastern districts could lead to an increased risk of lightning-related fire starts later today, however, the dry thunder chances over the eastern districts are below 10 percent. Another day of excessive heat is forecast across most of the lower deserts with highs near 110 degrees before a gradual cooldown over the weekend. Winds will generally favor diurnal tendencies with sustained speeds below 15 mph along with occasional afternoon breeziness of upwards of 20-25 mph. MinRHs will hover at around 10% along with poor to fair overnight recoveries as MaxRHs range between 20-40%. ...Thunderstorms imply gusty winds... Note...Additional Fire Weather Forecast information can be found in the Area Forecast Discussion. See product PHXAFDPSR. AZZ132-072045- West Central Deserts/Northwest Maricopa County/Greater Phoenix Area/Southwest Deserts/Southwest Maricopa County/ Northwest and North-Central Pinal County- Phoenix BLM/YUM BLM/CAZ-CRZ- 133 AM MST Fri Jun 7 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature.................104-110. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................6-11 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming southwest 5 to 15 mph in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........6 high potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Phoenix.......9500 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Phoenix......Southwest 9 knots. * Dispersion for Phoenix..........Very good. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................73-83. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................25-38 pct. * 24 hr trend..................3 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .SATURDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature.................102-108. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................8-12 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........6 high potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Phoenix.......11300 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Phoenix......Southwest 8 knots. * Dispersion for Phoenix..........Very good. .EXTENDED... .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 69-79. Highs 98-104. South winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 69-79. Highs 97-104. South winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 69-79. Highs 101-107. South winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 69-79. Highs 101-108. .THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 69-79. Highs 98-105. $$ AZZ131-CAZ231-072045- Yuma/Martinez Lake and Vicinity/Lower Colorado River Valley AZ- Lower Colorado River Valley CA- 133 AM MST Fri Jun 7 2024 /133 AM PDT Fri Jun 7 2024/ .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. * Max Temperature.................106-111. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................10-14 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........5 moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Yuma..........8600 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Yuma.........Southwest 8 knots. * Dispersion for Yuma.............Good. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................73-78. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................35-47 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .SATURDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature.................104-109. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................10-14 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........5 moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Yuma..........8800 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Yuma.........Southwest 9 knots. * Dispersion for Yuma.............Very good. .EXTENDED... .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 71-78. Highs 101-106. South winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 70-75. Highs 99-104. South winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 70-75. Highs 102-107. South winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 70-75. Highs 102-107. .THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 70-75. Highs 101-106. $$ AZZ133-072045- Southern Gila County/Tonto National Forest Foothills- Southern Tonto NF/West San Carlos BIA/South Portion Ft Apache BIA/ CAZ- 133 AM MST Fri Jun 7 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature.................93-106. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................7-11 pct. * 24 hr trend..................3 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........6 high potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................63-75. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................23-32 pct. * 24 hr trend..................4 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 10 mph in the evening becoming southwest after midnight. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .SATURDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. * Max Temperature.................89-103. * 24 hr trend..................3 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................8-12 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........6 high potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .EXTENDED... .SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 58-76. Highs 86-101. Southwest winds 10 to 20 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 58-72. Highs 86-100. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 59-74. Highs 90-105. West winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 61-74. Highs 91-105. .THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 58-73. Highs 88-101. $$ CAZ232-072045- Imperial County And Eastern Riverside County- 133 AM PDT Fri Jun 7 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. * Max Temperature.................101-110. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................10-17 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........5 moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................74-81. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................32-49 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 5 to 15 mph in the evening becoming light and variable after midnight. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .SATURDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature.................99-108. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................10-17 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........5 moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .EXTENDED... .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 70-78. Highs 96-105. Southwest winds 10 to 20 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 70-79. Highs 94-104. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 71-79. Highs 98-107. South winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 70-78. Highs 98-107. .THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 70-76. Highs 96-106. $$ CAZ230-072045- Joshua Tree National Park- 133 AM PDT Fri Jun 7 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature.................90-106. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................12-21 pct. * 24 hr trend..................4 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........5 moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................65-78. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................31-42 pct. * 24 hr trend..................6 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .SATURDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature.................88-103. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................13-23 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 5 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........5 moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .EXTENDED... .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 61-75. Highs 84-100. Southwest winds 10 to 20 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 61-75. Highs 84-99. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 63-75. Highs 88-102. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 62-75. Highs 87-102. .THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 62-74. Highs 86-101. $$ .8 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK...Friday June 14th through Sunday June 16th: Above normal temperatures and near median precipitation.