Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ
406 FNUS55 KPSR 290834 FWFPSR Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest and South-Central Arizona and Southeast California National Weather Service Phoenix AZ 134 AM MST Sat Jun 29 2024 .DISCUSSION... Very limited monsoon activity is expected today before fairly widespread showers and thunderstorms are expected over south- central and eastern Arizona Sunday afternoon and evening. Humidity levels today will drop slightly from yesterday with MinRHs in the upper teens across the lower deserts to 20-30% over the higher terrain with only very slight improvement through Sunday afternoon. Overnight recoveries will be fair tonight and good Sunday night as moisture increases over much of the area. Winds will follow typical diurnal trends through Sunday afternoon with occasional afternoon breeziness near 20 mph, while strong outflow south southeasterly winds look likely Sunday evening into south- central Arizona. ...Thunderstorms imply gusty winds... Note...Additional Fire Weather Forecast information can be found in the Area Forecast Discussion. See product PHXAFDPSR. AZZ132-292045- West Central Deserts/Northwest Maricopa County/Greater Phoenix Area/Southwest Deserts/Southwest Maricopa County/ Northwest and North-Central Pinal County- Phoenix BLM/YUM BLM/CAZ-CRZ- 134 AM MST Sat Jun 29 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature.................104-110. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................18-22 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Phoenix.......7500 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Phoenix......Northwest 6 knots. * Dispersion for Phoenix..........Marginal. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................83-93. * 24 hr trend..................4 degrees warmer. * Max Humidity....................35-45 pct. * 24 hr trend..................5 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable in the evening becoming southeast 5 to 15 mph after midnight. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .SUNDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................104-110. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................18-23 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southeast 5 to 15 mph in the morning becoming light and variable in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1 in the morning becoming 2 in the afternoon. * Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Phoenix.......9200 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Phoenix......West 6 knots. * Dispersion for Phoenix..........Good. .EXTENDED... .MONDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 82-92. Highs 102-108. South winds 5 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 83-93. Highs 104-111. South winds 5 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 81-91. Highs 102-108. South winds 10 to 20 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 81-91. Highs 103-109. .FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 82-92. Highs 107-113. $$ AZZ131-CAZ231-292045- Yuma/Martinez Lake and Vicinity/Lower Colorado River Valley AZ- Lower Colorado River Valley CA- 134 AM MST Sat Jun 29 2024 /134 AM PDT Sat Jun 29 2024/ .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................107-112. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................17-21 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Yuma..........6300 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Yuma.........South 12 knots. * Dispersion for Yuma.............Very good. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................81-86. * 24 hr trend..................3 degrees warmer. * Max Humidity....................35-49 pct. * 24 hr trend..................4 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .SUNDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature.................107-112. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................17-22 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Yuma..........3400 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Yuma.........South 14 knots. * Dispersion for Yuma.............Good. .EXTENDED... .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 83-88. Highs 106-111. South winds 10 to 20 mph. .TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 83-89. Highs 108-113. South winds 10 to 20 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 82-89. Highs 106-111. South winds 15 to 25 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 81-86. Highs 107-112. .FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 83-88. Highs 111-116. $$ AZZ133-292045- Southern Gila County/Tonto National Forest Foothills- Southern Tonto NF/West San Carlos BIA/South Portion Ft Apache BIA/ CAZ- 134 AM MST Sat Jun 29 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................91-104. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................19-28 pct. * 24 hr trend..................3 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............East 5 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent in the morning becoming 10 percent in the afternoon. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1 in the morning becoming 2 in the afternoon. * Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers in the evening. * Min Temperature.................70-85. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................40-57 pct. * 24 hr trend..................5 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northwest 5 to 10 mph in the evening becoming east after midnight. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Northeast 5 to 15 mph in the evening becoming southeast after midnight. * Chance of Precip................10 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .SUNDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................92-107. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................21-30 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming southwest 5 to 15 mph in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southeast 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent in the morning becoming 40 percent in the afternoon. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................10 percent. * LAL.............................1 in the morning becoming 3 in the afternoon. * Haines High Level Index.........4 low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .EXTENDED... .MONDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 68-83. Highs 87-102. South winds 5 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 67-83. Highs 89-104. West winds 5 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of thunderstorms and slight chance of showers. Lows 66-83. Highs 87-103. West winds 5 to 15 mph. .THURSDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 66-83. Highs 89-103. .FRIDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 67-83. Highs 92-107. $$ CAZ232-292045- Imperial County And Eastern Riverside County- 134 AM PDT Sat Jun 29 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................102-112. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................11-19 pct. * 24 hr trend..................3 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........4 low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Clear. * Min Temperature.................81-86. * 24 hr trend..................4 degrees warmer. * Max Humidity....................18-46 pct. * 24 hr trend..................4 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .SUNDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature.................104-114. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................12-20 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........4 low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .EXTENDED... .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 81-88. Highs 103-113. South winds 10 to 20 mph. .TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 81-90. Highs 103-114. South winds 10 to 20 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 81-90. Highs 103-113. South winds 10 to 20 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 81-89. Highs 103-113. .FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 83-91. Highs 107-117. $$ CAZ230-292045- Joshua Tree National Park- 134 AM PDT Sat Jun 29 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................92-107. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................7-11 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 20 to 30 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........5 moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Clear. * Min Temperature.................70-81. * 24 hr trend..................4 degrees warmer. * Max Humidity....................14-19 pct. * 24 hr trend..................3 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .SUNDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................94-109. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................9-13 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........4 low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .EXTENDED... .MONDAY...Clear. Lows 69-83. Highs 93-107. Southwest winds 10 to 20 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 70-86. Highs 93-108. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 71-86. Highs 94-107. South winds 10 to 20 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 71-86. Highs 95-108. .FRIDAY...Clear. Lows 75-86. Highs 97-112. $$ .8 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK...Saturday July 6th through Monday July 8th: Above normal temperatures and near to below median precipitation.