Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ
638 FNUS55 KPSR 211012 FWFPSR Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest and South-Central Arizona and Southeast California National Weather Service Phoenix AZ 312 AM MST Fri Jun 21 2024 .DISCUSSION... Moisture will continue to increase across the region into the upcoming weekend bringing daily chances for afternoon thunderstorms, with the best chances expected across the higher terrain areas of south-central AZ. MinRH values for today will range around 40% across the far eastern districts to between 10-15% across the western districts. MinRH values will then increase for Saturday, ranging from 40% across the eastern districts to 20-25% across the western districts, with similar levels through Sunday as well. Winds will follow their typical daily tendencies, with gusty outflows from any thunderstorm activity anticipated over the next several days. High pressure is expected to strengthen over the region by early next week leading to even hotter temperatures along with slightly drier conditions. ...Thunderstorms imply gusty winds... Note...Additional Fire Weather Forecast information can be found in the Area Forecast Discussion. See product PHXAFDPSR. AZZ132-212215- West Central Deserts/Northwest Maricopa County/Greater Phoenix Area/Southwest Deserts/Southwest Maricopa County/ Northwest and North-Central Pinal County- Phoenix BLM/YUM BLM/CAZ-CRZ- 312 AM MST Fri Jun 21 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature.................107-113. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................8-17 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 15 mph in the morning becoming southwest in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 20 to 30 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........5 moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Phoenix.......6800 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Phoenix......Southeast 11 knots. * Dispersion for Phoenix..........Good. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Partly cloudy. * Min Temperature.................80-90. * 24 hr trend..................3 degrees warmer. * Max Humidity....................31-52 pct. * 24 hr trend..................5 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph in the evening becoming southeast 5 to 10 mph after midnight. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southeast 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .SATURDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms . * Max Temperature.................103-109. * 24 hr trend..................4 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................20-25 pct. * 24 hr trend..................11 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming southwest in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............East 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................30 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................3. * Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Phoenix.......8600 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Phoenix......Southeast 6 knots. * Dispersion for Phoenix..........Good. .EXTENDED... .SUNDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 81-91. Highs 102-107. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 81-91. Highs 105-110. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 83-93. Highs 107-112. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 81-91. Highs 106-112. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 80-90. Highs 106-111. $$ AZZ131-CAZ231-212215- Yuma/Martinez Lake and Vicinity/Lower Colorado River Valley AZ- Lower Colorado River Valley CA- 312 AM MST Fri Jun 21 2024 /312 AM PDT Fri Jun 21 2024/ .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................109-114. * 24 hr trend..................3 degrees warmer. * Min Humidity....................8-12 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northwest 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming southwest 5 to 15 mph in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........5 moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Yuma..........8700 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Yuma.........South 12 knots. * Dispersion for Yuma.............Excellent. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................79-84. * 24 hr trend..................5 degrees warmer. * Max Humidity....................28-41 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .SATURDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Max Temperature.................106-111. * 24 hr trend..................3 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................21-26 pct. * 24 hr trend..................14 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southeast 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................10 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................2. * Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Yuma..........8600 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Yuma.........South 10 knots. * Dispersion for Yuma.............Very good. .EXTENDED... .SUNDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 83-88. Highs 106-111. South winds 5 to 15 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 83-88. Highs 108-113. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 83-88. Highs 109-114. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 83-88. Highs 110-115. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 81-86. Highs 109-114. $$ AZZ133-212215- Southern Gila County/Tonto National Forest Foothills- Southern Tonto NF/West San Carlos BIA/South Portion Ft Apache BIA/ CAZ- 312 AM MST Fri Jun 21 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................87-106. * 24 hr trend..................3 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................19-35 pct. * 24 hr trend..................6 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 15 to 25 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent in the morning becoming 40 percent in the afternoon. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1 in the morning becoming 3 in the afternoon. * Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy in the evening becoming partly cloudy after midnight. Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening. slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after midnight. * Min Temperature.................67-82. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................54-73 pct. * 24 hr trend..................3 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 10 to 20 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 5 to 15 mph in the evening becoming light and variable after midnight. * Chance of Precip................30 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................10 percent. * LAL.............................3 in the evening becoming 2 after midnight. .SATURDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the morning becoming chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................89-105. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................24-34 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southeast 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................50 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................20 percent. * LAL.............................2 in the morning becoming 3 in the afternoon. * Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .EXTENDED... .SUNDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 67-83. Highs 88-102. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 67-84. Highs 91-105. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 69-85. Highs 94-108. West winds 5 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 70-85. Highs 93-108. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 70-84. Highs 93-107. $$ CAZ232-212215- Imperial County And Eastern Riverside County- 312 AM PDT Fri Jun 21 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................103-113. * 24 hr trend..................4 degrees warmer. * Min Humidity....................7-12 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northwest 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming south in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........5 moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................78-84. * 24 hr trend..................3 degrees warmer. * Max Humidity....................22-45 pct. * 24 hr trend..................3 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 10 mph in the evening becoming southeast after midnight. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .SATURDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature.................102-111. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................17-24 pct. * 24 hr trend..................11 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .EXTENDED... .SUNDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 83-90. Highs 103-112. South winds 5 to 15 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 83-90. Highs 104-114. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 83-90. Highs 105-115. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 82-90. Highs 106-116. .THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 80-89. Highs 106-116. $$ CAZ230-212215- Joshua Tree National Park- 312 AM PDT Fri Jun 21 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................92-106. * 24 hr trend..................4 degrees warmer. * Min Humidity....................8-12 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..North 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming south 5 to 15 mph in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........4 low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Clear. * Min Temperature.................69-80. * 24 hr trend..................4 degrees warmer. * Max Humidity....................21-26 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 5 to 15 mph in the evening becoming south 10 to 20 mph after midnight. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .SATURDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................92-106. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................15-20 pct. * 24 hr trend..................7 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........4 low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .EXTENDED... .SUNDAY...Mostly clear with chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 72-85. Highs 93-107. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 72-86. Highs 94-108. West winds 5 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 72-86. Highs 95-110. West winds 5 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 73-86. Highs 95-111. .THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 70-86. Highs 96-111. $$ .8 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK...Friday June 28th through Sunday June 30th: Above normal temperatures and precipitation.