346
FNUS75 KPUB 171027
FWSPUB

Spot Forecast for Monument Fire Center...Pike NF
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
427 AM MDT Mon Jun 17 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 MDT on June 17.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (719) 948-9429, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 9 PM MDT
THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...

Another hot, dry, and windy day is in store for the burn area today.
A Red Flag Warning goes into effect late this morning and lasts
into the evening as southwest winds of 15 to 20 mph with gusts to
35 mph are expected by early afternoon.

Later tonight a cool front will move through and this will bring in
noticeably cooler air to the burn area on Tuesday. Some showers will
be possible in the afternoon. Even much cooler weather is expected
on Wednesday.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....89F.
Min humidity........4-9 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........light northwest wind 0900, then
                    southwest 16-20 mph with gusts to around 35 mph.
Mixing height.......2000 ft agl until 0900. 13000 ft agl after
                    1000.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 16 mph until 1000, then around
                    26 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0700. Excellent after 1000.
Haines Index........6 or high potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........5   2   2   2   4   19  29  28  14  9   7   4
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............58  63  70  78  80  83  84  85  86  87  88  86
RH..............30  27  20  15  13  11  11  10  9   10  9   9
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..6   6   6   13  13  13  17  17  17  20  20  20
20 FT wind gust.15  15  15  25  25  25  32  32  32  35  35  35
Mix hgt (kft)...1.0 1.5 2.5 4.5 10  12  12  12  13  13  13  13
Transp wind dir.W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.12  12  15  20  26  28  28  26  26  28  26  26
Haines index....6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
SDspl kt-ft/100013  14  30  81  231 288 279 278 288 312 300 304

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....54F.
Max humidity........30-35 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 14-18 mph with gusts to around 32
                    mph until 0300, then light southwest 3 to 6 mph
Mixing height.......12500 ft agl until 1900. 1500 ft agl after
                    2000.
Transport winds.....West around 11 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent until 2000, then poor.
Haines Index........6 or high potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (MDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........4   7   5   3   5   5   3   6   3   20  27  32
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............86  83  76  72  69  67  65  63  61  59  58  57
RH..............9   10  14  14  17  18  19  20  23  24  26  27
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..18  18  18  14  14  14  9   9   9   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.32  32  32  29  29  29  20  20  20  16  16  16
Mix hgt (kft)...13  7.5 2.0 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.0
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W
Transp wind spd.28  25  18  17  17  15  15  17  15  14  12  10
Haines index....6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
SDspl kt-ft/1000299 171 28  20  22  18  17  20  18  17  13  11

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny(38 percent). Slight chance of rain
                    showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
LAL.................1 until 1200, then 3.
Max temperature.....76F.
Min humidity........17-22 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds around 8 mph until 0900. Southeast
                    12-16 mph after 1200. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms after 1200.
Mixing height.......3000 ft agl until 1000, then 8000 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North around 8 mph until 0800, then northeast
                    until 1000, then southeast until 1200, then
                    south around 19 mph until 1700, then east
                    around 17 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 1000, then fair until 1100, then
                    very good until 1200, then excellent until
                    1700, then good.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........34  39  47  37  29  24  29  37  45  53  53  53
Weather cov.....                        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....                        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   3   3   3   3   3   3
Temp............54  59  62  67  69  73  74  75  75  76  76  74
RH..............35  30  30  27  26  23  23  22  22  22  23  27
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..8   8   8   10  10  10  16  16  16  15  15  15
20 FT wind gust.12  12  12  16  16  16  24  24  24  23  23  23
Mix hgt (kft)...1.0 1.5 2.5 3.5 5.5 7.5 9.5 11  10  9.5 8.0 6.5
Transp wind dir.NW  N   NE  E   E   S   S   S   S   S   S   E
Transp wind spd.8   8   8   8   12  16  20  20  21  21  20  17
Haines index....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
SDspl kt-ft/10009   9   17  25  56  104 159 180 180 170 135 96

$$
Forecaster...HODANISH
Requested by...Christina Barba
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2415650.9/PUB
.DELDT 06/17/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0