679
FNUS75 KREV 181956
FWSREV

Spot Forecast for Bear Fire...USFS
National Weather Service Reno NV
1256 PM PDT Wed Sep 18 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0700 PDT on September 19.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National
Weather Service in Reno.

.DISCUSSION...

* Chances (30-50%) for showers continue through Thursday with the
  best chances seen during the afternoon hours along with around a
  15-25% chance of thunderstorms. QPF on Thursday looks to total
  only about a couple hundredths of an inch with a 10% chance for
  wetting rains.

* Drier and slowly warmer conditions are expected late week into the
  weekend with no significant wind.

* Although winds with generally be light less than 10 mph, but
  gusty and erratic near thunderstorm activity. Early next week
  look for a return of typical afternoon breezes to 20 mph.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and a slight
                    chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Temperature.........40-43 at forecast start...Max 63-67.
RH..................91-95% at forecast start...Min 37-39%.
20-Foot Winds.......Winds southeast at 2 mph at forecast
                    start...otherwise Upslope 3-7 mph. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in
                    the afternoon.
LAL.................1 until 1100, then 2.
Chc Wetting Rain....10%.
Mixing Height.......5800-6800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Light winds becoming east 10-15 mph in the late
                    morning and afternoon.
Ventilation.........Poor to very good.
Haines Index........3 at forecast start...max 3.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming clear. Chance of
                    showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms in
                    the evening.
Temperature.........Min 42-45.
RH..................Max 70-75%.
20-Foot Winds.......Downslope 2-6 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms in the evening.
LAL.................2 until 2300, then 1.
Chc Wetting Rain....5%.
Mixing Height.......800-1300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 10 mph in the evening becoming
                    light.
Ventilation.........Good to poor.
Haines Index........3.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/Weather.........Sunny.
Temperature.........Max 69-72.
RH..................Min 27-29%.
20-Foot Winds.......Upslope 3-7 mph.
LAL.................1.
Chc Wetting Rain....0%.
Mixing Height.......6200-7200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Light winds except northeast around 8-12 mph
                    early in the afternoon.
Ventilation.........Poor to good.
Haines Index........2.

$$
Forecaster...Young
Requested by...Dan Patterson
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2422668.0/REV
.DELDT 09/18/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL daniel.patterson@usda.gov