Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA
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762 FXUS64 KSHV 250536 AFDSHV Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Shreveport LA 1236 AM CDT Sat May 25 2024 ...New AVIATION... .UPDATE... Issued at 1007 PM CDT Fri May 24 2024 We have extended the current SVR watch a couple of hours and added our remaining deep east TX Counties with the update. && .SHORT TERM... (Tonight through Sunday Night) Issued at 1007 PM CDT Fri May 24 2024 Thunderstorms continue to move over S Arkansas and we have extended the SVR Watch 303 for another couple of hours until midnight. Also, we have added our remaining TX Counties as well ahead of the big push currently. The KSHV radar is tracking a large cell along I-20 in east TX and we are continuing see good progressive motion, so flooding may still become an issue for the rain trained areas briefly, but all of our rivers in the general path are normal ahead of this push. More to come this evening and hoping the HRRR is on track with dissipation around midnight. /24/ && .LONG TERM... (Sunday through next Thursday) Issued at 158 PM CDT Fri May 24 2024 Troughing will remain in place across the central CONUS as we move into the long-term portion of the forecast period. At the surface, an area of low pressure will be centered over the mid-central CONUS with a cold front extending south from central Kansas into western Texas. A dryline will also be in place from central Oklahoma into southwest Texas. This will lead to some thunderstorm development across east Texas that will traverse through the rest of our area on Sunday. Right now portions of northeast Texas, southwest Arkansas, and southeast Oklahoma are in a Slight Risk for strong to severe storms on Sunday. Upper-level trough will quickly push to the northeast Sunday night into Monday morning with a decent cold front developing and extending from the Upper Midwest to north central Texas. This front will eventually push through the area late Monday night into Tuesday morning, ushering in some "cooler" and drier air. Monday should be the last day that we see Heat Index values reach the 100 degree mark as the rest of the week will be well below this mark. Monday will see temperatures climb ahead of the front into the lower to upper 90s. On Tuesday, the "cooler" air will begin to filter in behind the front and will be most noticeably felt across our far northern zones with highs in the mid 80s to lower 90s. Wednesday will be the "coolest" day of the period with temperatures in the 80s across the region. No major chances for precipitation to speak of right now in the long term period however, that is always subject to change. 33 && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1225 AM CDT Sat May 25 2024 Southerly winds 5 to 10 knots overnight to increase to around 10 knots on Saturday, diminishing to around 5 knots after 26/00Z. Ongoing convection to bring TSRA conditions to ELD through 25/07Z with conditions improving thereafter. Otherwise, MVFR ceilings to overspread the region overnight, gradually lifting to VFR by mid- afternoon. /05/ && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... SHV 93 76 94 75 / 20 0 10 20 MLU 93 73 94 74 / 20 0 10 20 DEQ 87 70 90 67 / 10 10 10 20 TXK 91 74 92 73 / 20 0 10 20 ELD 90 71 92 70 / 30 0 10 30 TYR 92 75 93 74 / 0 0 0 10 GGG 92 74 92 74 / 10 0 10 10 LFK 94 74 94 75 / 10 0 10 0 && .SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...24 LONG TERM....33 AVIATION...05