361
FXUS64 KSHV 211751 AAA
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1251 PM CDT Tue May 21 2024

...New AVIATION...

.UPDATE...
Issued at 1143 AM CDT Tue May 21 2024

Due to abundant cloud cover in place and current and forecasted
trends, decided to lower high temps a couple degrees. Otherwise,
the remainder of the forecast remains on track.  /20/

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1251 PM CDT Tue May 21 2024

VFR conditions are expected through the afternoon and much of this
evening, although an extensive cu shield will linger across the
region as low level moisture continues to deepen with the return
Srly flow. These cigs should eventually scatter out late this
afternoon through the evening, although MVFR cigs are expected to
develop after 03Z across Deep E TX/WCntrl LA, and quickly spread N
to the I-20 corridor of E TX/Wrn LA by/after 06Z Wednesday, and
across the SW AR terminals between 08-10Z. LFK may a brief period
of IFR cigs around daybreak, before returning to MVFR by mid-
morning. These low cigs will likely linger through late
morning/midday Wednesday, before VFR cigs return. Isolated
convection will be possible early to mid evening today across
portions of extreme NE TX/SE OK/SW A, but should remain N of the
TXK terminal and thus, low confidence precludes thunder mention
attm. However, a more organized area of convection will develop
along a weak cold front across Srn and Ern OK, and will spread
into areas NW of the I-30 corridor by mid and late morning, and
could affect TXK/ELD by or shortly after the end of the 18Z TAF
period. /15/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  91  77  91  74 /   0  10  20  30
MLU  90  73  89  71 /   0  10  20  20
DEQ  87  71  85  67 /  10  30  70  70
TXK  90  75  90  70 /  10  20  60  60
ELD  89  73  88  68 /   0  10  40  40
TYR  90  76  90  73 /  10  20  30  30
GGG  90  76  90  73 /  10  20  20  30
LFK  89  76  90  73 /  10  10  10  10

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...20
AVIATION...15