628
FXUS64 KSJT 151848
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
148 PM CDT Sat Jun 15 2024

...New SHORT TERM...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Sunday)
Issued at 146 PM CDT Sat Jun 15 2024

A weak 500mb shortwave trough across northeast Texas tonight will
move eastward Sunday allowing the 500mb subtropical ridge across
northern Mexico and west Texas to build eastward in its wake. This
will continue to provide subsidence across west central Texas
tonight into Sunday with west to northwest flow prevailing aloft. At
the surface...the dryline will remain well to the west of the CWA
tonight and Sunday. Low pressure across west Texas will provide a
relatively strong pressure gradient across west central Texas
especially on Sunday. Expect breezy southerly winds Sun afternoon as
a result. Temperatures Sunday will be above normal especially across
portions of the Concho Valley.
&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday through Friday)
Issued at 148 AM CDT Sat Jun 15 2024

Expect mainly hot and dry conditions through early next week as an
upper level ridge builds across the Southern Plains. Highs will be
in the 90s to around 102 with lows only cooling into the 70s. Please
follow heat safety precautions. An influx of tropical moisture from
the Gulf of Mexico and weak upper level disturbances will bring a
low chance of showers and a few thunderstorms Thursday and Friday.
Temperatures will be cooler with highs in the mid 80s to lower 90s
&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1202 PM CDT Sat Jun 15 2024

Satellite images and surface observations indicate mid level
clouds continue to develop across southeast portions of the CWA
with a few high clouds moving across the rest of west central
Texas early this afternoon. Expect VFR conditions to prevail
across the CWA the rest of the afternoon into this evening as
northerly flow aloft continues to provide subsidence across the
area. Some MVFR conditions may develop across portions of the
northwest Hill Country late tonight into early Sun morning as low
level moisture allows some low clouds to develop.
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene     74  94  74  95 /   0   0   0   0
San Angelo  75 100  74 100 /   0   0   0   0
Junction    73  97  74  98 /   0   0   0   0
Brownwood   73  92  73  92 /   0   0   0   0
Sweetwater  75  97  74  97 /   0   0   0   0
Ozona       73  97  72  97 /   0   0   0   0
Brady       73  92  72  92 /   0   0   0   0
&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...61
LONG TERM....21
AVIATION...61