677
FXUS64 KSJT 261722
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
1222 PM CDT Sun May 26 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 406 AM CDT Sun May 26 2024

Scattered showers and thunderstorms continue to push eastward
across the Concho Valley and Heartland as of 4 AM. The
combination of abundant elevated instability, the retreating
dryline, and a subtle shortwave aloft led to these storms rapidly
developing over our area. Storms should exit the area by around
daybreak. Expect another hot day across west central Texas.
Temperatures will climb into the upper 90s to lower 100s under
mostly sunny skies. Overnight lows will dip into the lower 60s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday through Saturday)
Issued at 354 AM CDT Sun May 26 2024

....Unsettled Pattern to Return Next Week...

Hot weather will continue for Memorial Day as an upper-level
ridge persists over northern Mexico. Numerical guidance suggests
yet another day of triple-digit heat with low overall rain
chances.

Starting Tuesday, the pattern looks to become unsettled again as an
upper-level trough becomes established over the eastern US and puts
the southern Plains into northwest flow.  Models show multiple
shortwave impulses aloft riding over the north edge of the weakening
ridge through Friday.  Warm temperatures in the low to mid 90s will
be expected each afternoon with plenty of Gulf moisture in place due
to southeast surface flow.  A cold front should also dip into west
central Texas late Monday night into Tuesday and stall through
Wednesday. Thunderstorms should develop along both the front and the
dryline late Tuesday with lingering convection possible Wednesday.
The front should lift back northward on Thursday and provide even
more chances for showers and thunderstorms through Friday.
Conditions through the entire week are likely to be warm and muggy.
However, local conditions may be impacted at times by cloud cover

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1209 PM CDT Sun May 26 2024

Dry west to northwest winds will bring VFR conditions to the
region and tonight, but MVFR haze possible at KJCT towards 12Z
Monday as moisture and haze from South Texas begins to return.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene     65  97  70  90 /   0   0  10  60
San Angelo  63 103  71  96 /   0   0  10  50
Junction    66 106  70  98 /   0  10  10  30
Brownwood   64  96  70  89 /   0   0  10  50
Sweetwater  66  98  72  92 /   0   0  10  70
Ozona       66 102  73  95 /   0   0  10  40
Brady       65  98  70  91 /   0  10  10  50

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...42
LONG TERM....SK
AVIATION...04