Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX

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212
FXUS64 KSJT 150504
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
1204 AM CDT Sat Jun 15 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Saturday)
Issued at 149 PM CDT Fri Jun 14 2024

No significant changes needed to the short term portion of the
forecast. Temperatures early this afternoon are in the lower to
mid 90s, with some scattered stratus clouds streaming across the
region. Overall, dry and warm conditions will persist into
Saturday. Morning lows will be in the lower to mid 70s, with
highs in the mid to upper 90s on Saturday afternoon.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday night through next Friday)
Issued at 125 PM CDT Fri Jun 14 2024

A shortwave will move through the southern plains Saturday within
overall ridging. No significant impacts from this feature are
expected in our area. A large trough will develop over the western
half of the U. S. by Monday, with ridging over the southeastern
states. Ridging will be maintained over west central Texas,
keeping our forecast mainly dry and hot from Saturday through
Tuesday. Highs will be in the mid 90s to around 100, with lows
generally in the 70s.

By the second half of next week, models continue to indicate
upper level troughing over the western Gulf of Mexico, moving into
the southern Texas coast. There is even the possibility of a
tropical disturbance developing late next week. Should a tropical
wave/disturbance be able to move westward into southern Texas, we
could see an increase in moisture and chance for showers and
thunderstorms. Precipitation chances will remain in the 20 to 30
percent range for the second half of next week, along with high
temperatures cooling into the upper 80s to lower 90s.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1200 AM CDT Sat Jun 15 2024

VFR conditions currently present across the area. Similar to
yesterday, a small area of low stratus may develop across the Hill
Country and spread north into the KJCT terminal but confidence that
this stratus will be MVFR and not lower-end VFR is still low so
have left prevailing VFR at all sites for the next 24 hours.
Generally light and variable winds overnight will pick up out of
the south later this morning before gradually backing more to the
southeast during the day.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene     95  73  95  74 /   0   0   0   0
San Angelo  98  75 100  74 /   0   0   0   0
Junction    97  73  97  73 /   0   0   0   0
Brownwood   93  72  92  72 /   0   0   0   0
Sweetwater  96  74  98  75 /   0   0   0   0
Ozona       95  73  96  72 /   0   0   0   0
Brady       92  72  92  72 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...42
LONG TERM....20
AVIATION...50