Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX
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868 FXUS64 KSJT 261149 AFDSJT Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service San Angelo TX 649 AM CDT Sun May 26 2024 ...New AVIATION... .SHORT TERM... (Today and tonight) Issued at 406 AM CDT Sun May 26 2024 Scattered showers and thunderstorms continue to push eastward across the Concho Valley and Heartland as of 4 AM. The combination of abundant elevated instability, the retreating dryline, and a subtle shortwave aloft led to these storms rapidly developing over our area. Storms should exit the area by around daybreak. Expect another hot day across west central Texas. Temperatures will climb into the upper 90s to lower 100s under mostly sunny skies. Overnight lows will dip into the lower 60s. && .LONG TERM... (Monday through Saturday) Issued at 354 AM CDT Sun May 26 2024 ....Unsettled Pattern to Return Next Week... Hot weather will continue for Memorial Day as an upper-level ridge persists over northern Mexico. Numerical guidance suggests yet another day of triple-digit heat with low overall rain chances. Starting Tuesday, the pattern looks to become unsettled again as an upper-level trough becomes established over the eastern US and puts the southern Plains into northwest flow. Models show multiple shortwave impulses aloft riding over the north edge of the weakening ridge through Friday. Warm temperatures in the low to mid 90s will be expected each afternoon with plenty of Gulf moisture in place due to southeast surface flow. A cold front should also dip into west central Texas late Monday night into Tuesday and stall through Wednesday. Thunderstorms should develop along both the front and the dryline late Tuesday with lingering convection possible Wednesday. The front should lift back northward on Thursday and provide even more chances for showers and thunderstorms through Friday. Conditions through the entire week are likely to be warm and muggy. However, local conditions may be impacted at times by cloud cover && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 649 AM CDT Sun May 26 2024 VFR conditions will prevail through the next 24 hours. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Abilene 97 65 97 70 / 0 0 0 10 San Angelo 101 63 103 71 / 0 0 0 10 Junction 104 66 106 72 / 0 0 10 10 Brownwood 97 64 96 69 / 0 0 0 10 Sweetwater 97 66 98 71 / 0 0 0 0 Ozona 99 66 102 72 / 0 0 0 10 Brady 96 65 98 70 / 0 0 10 10 && .SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...42 LONG TERM....SK AVIATION...42