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188
FNUS72 KTAE 210831
FWSTAE

Spot Forecast for BU 66_72...FWC
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
431 AM EDT Fri Jun 21 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on June 21.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (850) 942-8833, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Good dispersions are forecast by ignition time, but become high
between noon and 4PM ET as NE winds kick up in the afternoon.
Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are possible at the
burn site this afternoon and evening from tropical moisture
approaching from the east. The main concerns would be locally
gusty/erratic winds and of course, lightning. Wetting rains appear
unlikely today.

For tomorrow, low dispersions hold until 11AM ET and become
favorable for the rest of the day. Greater rain chances are
forecast as a tropical moisture interacts with the seabreeze
during the morning and afternoon hrs. There is better potential
for wetting rains and thunder/lightning then. Prevailing SW winds
are expected.


.REST OF TODAY...
TIME (EDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........6   6   6   22  28  48  41  54  45
Weather cov.....                    CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....                    RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                    SCH SCH SCH CHC
CWR.............0   0   10  10  10  30  30  30  40
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   2   2   2   3
Temp............77  81  84  87  89  90  92  92  91
RH..............79  72  67  61  57  56  52  52  56
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..3   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.7   8   8   8   8   8   8   8   8
Mix hgt (kft)...1.9 2.8 3.7 4.4 5.1 5.8 5.3 4.8 4.3
Transp wind dir.NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
Transp wind spd.14  14  14  14  14  13  13  13  12
Dispersion......36  52  67  75  83  88  79  60  63
LVORI...........3   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...
TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........41  27  17  28  21  13  22  27  26  29  35  38
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............40  40  30  30  30  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
LAL.............3   3   2   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............90  89  87  84  82  81  80  79  78  78  77  76
RH..............60  61  68  72  77  82  85  88  88  88  87  90
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  E   NE  NE  E   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..5   3   2   1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0
20 FT wind gust.8   7   5   3   3   3   1   1   1   1   1   1
Mix hgt (kft)...3.1 1.9 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   NE
Transp wind spd.12  10  9   8   6   5   5   5   5   5   3   3
Dispersion......45  26  4   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
LVORI...........1   2   3   3   4   4   5   5   6   6   6   7

.SATURDAY...
TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........33  24  29  25  26  29  27  28  28  30  33  34
Weather cov.....        CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY
Weather type....        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........        CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY
CWR.............10  10  30  30  30  30  30  30  60  60  60  60
LAL.............1   1   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4
Temp............77  76  76  81  84  87  89  91  93  93  93  91
RH..............90  90  97  88  82  75  70  66  60  60  62  66
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   E   SE  SE  S   SW  SW  S   S
20 FT wind spd..0   0   0   1   1   1   1   2   2   2   3   3
20 FT wind gust.1   1   1   3   3   3   3   5   5   5   7   7
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.7 0.8 1.7 2.7 3.6 3.9 4.2 4.5 4.1 3.8 3.5
Transp wind dir.NE  NE  NE  NE  NW  W   W   W   W   W   SW  SW
Transp wind spd.3   5   5   6   6   7   8   9   9   10  12  12
Dispersion......2   2   5   13  20  31  39  47  55  53  50  45
LVORI...........7   7   6   4   3   3   2   1   1   1   1   1

$$
Forecaster...Gonzalez
Requested by...Morgan Wilbur
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2416427.1/TAE
.DELDT 06/21/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL morgan.wilbur@myfwc.com