451
FNUS75 KTFX 161418
FWSTFX

Spot Forecast for Flat Creek Fire...DNRC
National Weather Service Great Falls MT
818 AM MDT Sun Jun 16 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0700 MDT on June 16.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM MDT THIS MORNING...

.DISCUSSION...

Periods of strong gusty southwesterly to westerly winds are
forecast, with wind speeds/gusts decreasing, as the day
progresses. Winds shift northwesterly during the later
afternoon/early evening hours. Minimum relative humidity values
fall as low as 15%, today. Below normal temperatures are forecast
for today. Looking ahead to the coming week. Widespread
precipitation is forecast.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent) then becoming partly
                    sunny (60-70 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....58-63.
Min humidity........15-20 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Windy. Southwest winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts
                    to around 45 mph becoming west 10 to 15 mph in
                    the afternoon.
 Ridgetop...........West around 25 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Slight chance of rain
                    showers in the evening, then rain showers
                    likely overnight.
CWR.................45 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....37-42.
Max humidity........84-89 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......West winds 5 to 10 mph shifting to the north
                    overnight.
 Ridgetop...........Northeast around 15 mph.
Haines Index........

$$
Forecaster...Fogleman
Requested by...Kevin Booher
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2416222.0/TFX
.DELDT 06/16/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL MTHDC@firenet.gov, tfx.ops@noaa.gov