Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK
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763 FXUS64 KTSA 240217 AFDTSA Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tulsa OK 917 PM CDT Sun Jun 23 2024 ...New SHORT TERM... .SHORT TERM... (The rest of tonight) Issued at 911 PM CDT Sun Jun 23 2024 Heat Index values continue to slowly fall, though a few still are right around the century mark at 9 PM. Today`s advisory has expired accordingly. Have also removed any mention of thunderstorms for this evening. More dangerously hot and humid weather Monday with headlines covering all of eastern OK and western AR. && .LONG TERM... (Tonight through Sunday) Issued at 153 PM CDT Sun Jun 23 2024 The heat intensifies on Monday, with afternoon heat indices expected to climb into the 105 to 111 degree range. The lower Ark River valley of west-central Arkansas, including FSM, could see heat warning criteria. Therefore, have issued an Excessive Heat Watch there, and Heat Advisories elsewhere. After what looks like another day of heat headlines Tuesday, the mid-level ridge will shift far enough west, at least briefly, to allow for increased storm chances Tuesday night into Wednesday. If an MCS were to organize and plow south across the area, it would provide some relief from the heat, with the caveat that it could bring some spotty damaging wind also. After storm chances on Wednesday with a weak front, the ridge aloft will rebuild east back overhead for the latter part of the week. Storm chances will return by the weekend as another boundary approaches from the north in a less amplified upper flow pattern across the CONUS. Lacy && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 608 PM CDT Sun Jun 23 2024 Light and variable winds overnight, becoming light from the south into the day Monday. VFR conditions expected through the forecast period with only scattered, mainly high clouds. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... TUL 79 101 81 99 / 0 0 0 10 FSM 78 100 78 99 / 10 10 0 10 MLC 76 97 77 97 / 0 0 0 0 BVO 72 101 75 99 / 0 0 0 10 FYV 70 98 72 96 / 10 0 0 10 BYV 72 99 74 96 / 0 10 0 10 MKO 77 98 77 97 / 10 0 0 10 MIO 74 99 76 96 / 0 0 0 10 F10 76 97 76 97 / 10 0 0 10 HHW 76 96 76 95 / 10 0 0 0 && .TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OK...Heat Advisory from noon to 9 PM CDT Monday for OKZ049-053>076. AR...Heat Advisory from noon to 9 PM CDT Monday for ARZ001-002-010- 011. Excessive Heat Watch from Monday afternoon through Monday evening for ARZ019-020-029. && $$ SHORT TERM...14 LONG TERM....30 AVIATION...12