Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
396
FNUS55 KTWC 161019
FWFTWC
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Arizona
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
319 AM MST Sun Jun 16 2024
...ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS MONDAY, WITH SOME AREAS
NEAR CRITICAL TO THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF TUCSON...
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
20-FOOT WIND FORECAST OF `LIGHT WINDS` INDICATES MAINLY
TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
.DISCUSSION...Hot and dry conditions will today with a few
degrees of cooling early Monday and Tuesday. High temperatures
will then heat back up late in the week, with the hottest
temperatures of 2024 possible on Friday. Through the middle of
this week, expect min RH values of 4-9 percent in the lower
elevations and 8-15 percent in the mountains, along with overnight
recoveries between 25-40 percent in most locations. RH values
then increase 5-10 percent the latter half of the week. Sustained
20-foot wind speeds today will be 15 mph or less. Winds then
increase on Monday, with southwest winds of 15-20 mph and gusts to
30-35 mph. A few areas will be near critical fire weather
thresholds Monday, especially to the east/southeast of Tucson, but
at this time we not expecting it to be widespread enough for a
watch or warning. Elevated afternoon/early evening winds of 15-20
mph then continue for much of this week. By the end of this week,
models show an increase in mid-level moisture, resulting in a
slight chance mainly dry thunderstorms to the east of Tucson
Thursday and and as far west as Tucson Friday and Saturday.
AZZ150-162315-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 150
Sonoran FDRA-Most of Pima County-South Central Pinal County-
Tohono O`odham Nation-Tucson Metropolitan area-TDC-
319 AM MST Sun Jun 16 2024
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Sunny.
* Max Temperature..........100 to 110 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............6 to 16 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
* Mixing Height............11842 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........South 14 to 18 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (213156 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear.
* Min Temperature..........66 to 76 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Max Humidity.............30 to 40 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 9 to 13 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Sunny.
* Max Temperature..........96 to 106 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............5 to 15 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
* Mixing Height............10567 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........South 21 to 24 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (253608 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 63 to 73. Highs 94 to 104. South wind
around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 9 to 19 pct.
.JUNETEENTH...Clear. Lows 63 to 73. Highs 97 to 107. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 6 to 16 pct.
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 65 to 75. Highs 103 to 113. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 6 to 15 pct.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 72 to 82. Highs 103 to 113.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 74 to 84. Highs 101 to 111.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 150 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE TUCSON INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT
LOCATION (2550 MSL)
$$
AZZ151-162315-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 151
Western half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southeast corner of Pinal County-
Extreme Eastern Pima County-Western third of Cochise County-
Santa Cruz County-TDC-
319 AM MST Sun Jun 16 2024
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Sunny.
* Max Temperature..........95 to 105 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............6 to 13 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 10 mph increasing to
southwest around 20 mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
* Mixing Height............10047 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southwest 9 to 17 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (170799 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Clear.
* Min Temperature..........60 to 70 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Max Humidity.............36 to 46 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 9 to 13 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Sunny.
* Max Temperature..........92 to 102 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............6 to 13 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 20 to 25 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
* Mixing Height............8093 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........South 17 to 24 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (194232 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 57 to 67. Highs 90 to 100. Southwest wind
around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 8 to 14 pct.
.JUNETEENTH...Clear. Lows 58 to 68. Highs 93 to 103. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 7 to 13 pct.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 61 to 71. Highs 97 to 107.
Southeast wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 11 to 21 pct.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 67 to 77. Highs 94 to 104.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 67 to 77. Highs 93 to 103.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 151 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE BUENOS AIRES N.W.R. LOCATION
(3500 MSL)
$$
AZZ152-162315-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 152
Eastern half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southwest Graham County and Eastern two thirds of
Cochise County-Southern San Carlos Reservation-
Southern Greenlee County below 5000 feet-TDC-
319 AM MST Sun Jun 16 2024
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Sunny.
* Max Temperature..........95 to 105 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............6 to 11 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
* Mixing Height............12490 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........West 10 to 16 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (199840 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Clear.
* Min Temperature..........61 to 71 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............30 to 40 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 6 to 10 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Sunny.
* Max Temperature..........93 to 103 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............5 to 10 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 15 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
* Mixing Height............10706 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southwest 13 to 22 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (235532 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 58 to 68. Highs 90 to 100. Southwest wind
around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 6 to 12 pct.
.JUNETEENTH...Clear. Lows 59 to 69. Highs 93 to 103. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 6 to 13 pct.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 64 to 74. Highs 93 to 103. East wind around
25 mph. Minimum Humidity 15 to 25 pct.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 67 to 77. Highs 90 to 100.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 66 to 76. Highs 91 to 101.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 152 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE CHIRICAHUA N.M. LOCATION (5400 MSL)
$$
AZZ153-162315-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 153
Northern Graham County-Northern Greenlee County-
White and Gila Mountains-Apache Sitgreaves NF-
Southern San Carlos Reservation above 5000 feet-SDC-
319 AM MST Sun Jun 16 2024
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Sunny.
* Max Temperature..........84 to 94 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............6 to 12 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
* Mixing Height............10461 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........West 12 to 18 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (188298 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear.
* Min Temperature..........55 to 65 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Max Humidity.............27 to 37 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 20 to 25 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Sunny.
* Max Temperature..........81 to 91 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............6 to 15 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
* Mixing Height............10159 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southwest 14 to 23 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (233657 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 52 to 62. Highs 80 to 90. West wind around
15 mph. Minimum Humidity 8 to 14 pct.
.JUNETEENTH...Clear. Lows 54 to 64. Highs 83 to 93. South wind
around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 8 to 14 pct.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 59 to 69. Highs 82 to 92. Southeast wind
around 20 mph. Minimum Humidity 20 to 30 pct.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 61 to 71. Highs 79 to 89.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 61 to 71. Highs 80 to 90.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 153 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE POINT OF PINES LOCATION (6040 MSL)
$$
AZZ154-162315-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 154
Forest Woodlands FDRA including the Sky Islands of Southeast
Arizona above 5500 feet-Coronado NF-TDC-
319 AM MST Sun Jun 16 2024
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Sunny.
* Max Temperature..........84 to 94 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............7 to 14 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
* Mixing Height............12699 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........West 12 to 16 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (177786 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Clear.
* Min Temperature..........58 to 68 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Max Humidity.............31 to 41 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 9 to 13 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Sunny.
* Max Temperature..........82 to 92 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............6 to 13 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
* Mixing Height............11142 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southwest 16 to 22 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (211698 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 55 to 65. Highs 79 to 89. Southwest wind
around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 7 to 15 pct.
.JUNETEENTH...Clear. Lows 56 to 66. Highs 83 to 93. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 7 to 17 pct.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 61 to 71. Highs 84 to 94. East wind around
25 mph. Minimum Humidity 18 to 28 pct.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 64 to 74. Highs 80 to 90.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 63 to 73. Highs 81 to 91.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 154 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE AVERAGE ACROSS THE ZONE
$$
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