Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
721
FNUS55 KTWC 191030
FWFTWC
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Arizona
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
330 AM MST Wed Jun 19 2024
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20-FOOT WIND FORECAST OF `LIGHT WINDS` INDICATES MAINLY
TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS
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.DISCUSSION...Temperatures are expected to heat up a few degrees
today with an even greater increase by Thursday from Tucson
westward. Minimum relative humidity values today will be 8 to 15
percent with overnight recoveries between 25 to 40 percent.
Afternoon breeziness out of the southwest can be expected with
gusts to around 20 to 25 mph. Starting Thursday, surface winds
turn to the east to southeast and become stronger, especially
across Graham/Greenlee/Cochise Counties where sustained 20-ft
winds of 20 to 35 mph are expected with stronger gusts. The
strongest of these winds will be in the Upper Gila River Valley
near Safford as well as near Douglas along the International and
NM borders. With these east to southeast winds, there will be
increased moisture with min RH values in these locales around 20
percent Thursday. So while the winds are at critical levels, RH
values will remain just above critical levels but certainly still
elevated fire weather conditions due to the strong winds and dry
fuels Thursday. Breezy to windy conditions continue Friday, though
increased moisture will have overspread more of the forecast
area. Some isolated mainly dry thunderstorms are expected starting
Thursday from Tucson eastward and then to include the remainder
of southeast Arizona Friday. As moisture remains this weekend,
isolated thunderstorms will continue each day through the weekend
into early next week with a low grade monsoon pattern in place.
AZZ150-192215-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 150
Sonoran FDRA-Most of Pima County-South Central Pinal County-
Tohono O`odham Nation-Tucson Metropolitan area-TDC-
330 AM MST Wed Jun 19 2024
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Sunny.
* Max Temperature..........96 to 106 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............6 to 16 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............4 or low.
* Mixing Height............10750 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........South 10 to 12 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (129000 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear.
* Min Temperature..........67 to 77 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 degs.
* Max Humidity.............27 to 37 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 7 to 11 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 10 mph shifting to the east
after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South around 15 mph increasing to
southeast around 25 mph after midnight.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny then becoming partly
cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........104 to 114 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 4 to 8 degs.
* Min Humidity.............15 to 20 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..East around 20 mph shifting to the south
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 20 to 25 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* LAL......................2.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
* Mixing Height............15249 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........East 17 knots shifting to the south 19
knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (289731 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 74 to 84. Highs 101 to 111. Southeast wind around 25 mph.
Minimum Humidity 16 to 26 pct.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 74 to 84. Highs 99 to 109. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
21 to 31 pct.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 75 to 85. Highs 98 to 108. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
21 to 31 pct.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 75 to 85. Highs 100 to 110.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 76 to 86. Highs 102 to 112.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 150 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE TUCSON INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT
LOCATION (2550 MSL)
$$
AZZ151-192215-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 151
Western half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southeast corner of Pinal County-
Extreme Eastern Pima County-Western third of Cochise County-
Santa Cruz County-TDC-
330 AM MST Wed Jun 19 2024
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Sunny.
* Max Temperature..........92 to 102 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 degs.
* Min Humidity.............8 to 15 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South around 20 mph decreasing to around
10 mph in the afternoon.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
* Mixing Height............8671 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........South 12 to 13 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (112723 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear.
* Min Temperature..........63 to 73 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 7 degs.
* Max Humidity.............40 to 50 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 10 mph shifting to the
northeast after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South around 10 mph increasing to
southeast around 25 mph after midnight.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny then becoming partly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........96 to 106 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 degs.
* Min Humidity.............16 to 26 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 7 to 11 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Breezy. Southeast 15 to 25 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 25 to 30 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* LAL......................2.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
* Mixing Height............14802 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southeast 27 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (399654 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.FRIDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows 68 to 78. Highs
91 to 101. East wind around 30 mph. Minimum Humidity 28 to
38 pct.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 67 to 77. Highs 91 to 101. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
30 to 40 pct.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 67 to 77. Highs 92 to 102. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
27 to 37 pct.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 67 to 77. Highs 93 to 103.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 69 to 79. Highs 96 to 106.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 151 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE BUENOS AIRES N.W.R. LOCATION
(3500 MSL)
$$
AZZ152-192215-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 152
Eastern half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southwest Graham County and Eastern two thirds of
Cochise County-Southern San Carlos Reservation-
Southern Greenlee County below 5000 feet-TDC-
330 AM MST Wed Jun 19 2024
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Sunny.
* Max Temperature..........93 to 103 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 degs.
* Min Humidity.............8 to 15 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming south around 10 mph
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
* Mixing Height............11809 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........South 11 to 16 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (188944 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear.
* Min Temperature..........66 to 76 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 4 to 8 degs.
* Max Humidity.............53 to 63 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 15 to 19 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Windy. Southwest around 10 mph
increasing to east around 30 mph after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South around 10 mph increasing to
southeast around 25 mph after midnight.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny then becoming partly
cloudy. Patchy blowing dust. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........90 to 100 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............22 to 32 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 14 to 18 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Windy. Southeast 20 to 30 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 30 to 35 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* LAL......................2.
* Haines Index.............4 or low.
* Mixing Height............6119 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southeast 33 to 34 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (208046 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.FRIDAY...Patchy blowing dust. Showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows 67 to 77. Highs 85 to 95. East wind around 35 mph. Minimum
Humidity 35 to 45 pct.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 67 to 77. Highs 89 to 99. East wind around 15 mph. Minimum
Humidity 26 to 36 pct.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 67 to 77. Highs 93 to 103. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
21 to 31 pct.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 68 to 78. Highs 94 to 104.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 69 to 79. Highs 97 to 107.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 152 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE CHIRICAHUA N.M. LOCATION (5400 MSL)
$$
AZZ153-192215-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 153
Northern Graham County-Northern Greenlee County-
White and Gila Mountains-Apache Sitgreaves NF-
Southern San Carlos Reservation above 5000 feet-SDC-
330 AM MST Wed Jun 19 2024
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Sunny.
* Max Temperature..........82 to 92 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............9 to 16 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast around 10 mph shifting to the
south in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
* Mixing Height............10514 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........South 16 to 20 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (210280 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear.
* Min Temperature..........59 to 69 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 degs.
* Max Humidity.............63 to 73 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 26 to 30 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 10 mph increasing to
southeast around 20 mph after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South around 15 mph increasing to
southeast around 35 mph after midnight.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny then becoming partly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........80 to 90 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............26 to 36 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 15 to 19 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Windy. Southeast 20 to 30 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 35 to 40 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* LAL......................2.
* Haines Index.............4 or low.
* Mixing Height............6169 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southeast 31 to 34 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (209746 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.FRIDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows 59 to 69. Highs
74 to 84. Southeast wind around 30 mph. Minimum Humidity 41 to
51 pct.
.SATURDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows 61 to 71.
Highs 79 to 89. East wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 35 to
45 pct.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 61 to 71. Highs 82 to 92. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
25 to 35 pct.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 62 to 72. Highs 84 to 94.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 63 to 73. Highs 87 to 97.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 153 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE POINT OF PINES LOCATION (6040 MSL)
$$
AZZ154-192215-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 154
Forest Woodlands FDRA including the Sky Islands of Southeast
Arizona above 5500 feet-Coronado NF-TDC-
330 AM MST Wed Jun 19 2024
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Sunny.
* Max Temperature..........83 to 93 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 degs.
* Min Humidity.............8 to 17 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
* Mixing Height............12264 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........South 12 to 15 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (165564 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear.
* Min Temperature..........61 to 71 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 degs.
* Max Humidity.............51 to 61 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 12 to 16 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Windy. Southwest around 10 mph
increasing to east around 30 mph after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South around 10 mph increasing to
southeast around 25 mph after midnight.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny then becoming partly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........81 to 91 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............30 to 40 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 19 to 23 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Windy. Southeast 25 to 35 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 30 to 35 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* LAL......................2.
* Haines Index.............4 or low.
* Mixing Height............15272 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southeast 29 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (442888 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.FRIDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows 62 to 72. Highs
76 to 86. East wind around 35 mph. Minimum Humidity 43 to 53 pct.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 63 to 73. Highs 78 to 88. East wind around 20 mph. Minimum
Humidity 36 to 46 pct.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 64 to 74. Highs 82 to 92. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
30 to 40 pct.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 65 to 75. Highs 83 to 93.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 66 to 76. Highs 85 to 95.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 154 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE AVERAGE ACROSS THE ZONE
$$
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