Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
357
FNUS55 KTWC 192154
FWFTWC
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Arizona
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
254 PM MST Wed Jun 19 2024
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20-FOOT WIND FORECAST OF `LIGHT WINDS` INDICATES MAINLY
TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS
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.DISCUSSION...Temperatures are expected to peak Thursday from
Tucson westward, then more seasonable temperatures thereafter.
Starting late tonight, surface winds turn to the east to southeast
and become stronger, especially across Graham/Greenlee/Cochise
Counties where sustained 20-ft winds of 20 to 35 mph are expected
with stronger gusts. The strongest of these winds will be in the
Upper Gila River Valley near Safford as well as near Douglas along
the International and NM borders. With these east to southeast
winds, there will be increased moisture with min RH values in these
locales around 20 percent Thursday. So while the winds are at
critical levels, RH values will remain just above critical levels
but certainly still elevated fire weather conditions due to the
strong winds and dry fuels Thursday. Breezy to windy conditions
continue Friday, though increased moisture will have overspread more
of the forecast area. A mixture of dry/wet isolated to scattered are
expected starting Thursday afternoon from Tucson eastward and then
to include the remainder of southeast Arizona Friday. As moisture
remains this weekend, isolated to scattered thunderstorms will
continue each day through the weekend into early next week with a
low to mid grade monsoon pattern in place.
AZZ150-201445-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 150
Sonoran FDRA-Most of Pima County-South Central Pinal County-
Tohono O`odham Nation-Tucson Metropolitan area-TDC-
254 PM MST Wed Jun 19 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear.
* Min Temperature..........66 to 76 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 degs.
* Max Humidity.............27 to 37 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 8 to 12 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 10 mph shifting to the east
after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny then becoming partly
cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........103 to 113 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 4 to 8 degs.
* Min Humidity.............10 to 20 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..East around 15 mph shifting to the south
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 20 to 25 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* LAL......................2.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
* Mixing Height............16274 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........East 15 knots shifting to the south 18
knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (292932 knot-ft).
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Patchy blowing dust.
Chance of showers.
* Min Temperature..........74 to 84 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 5 to 9 degs.
* Max Humidity.............37 to 47 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 9 to 13 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Windy. Southeast 20 to 30 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
slight chance of thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........101 to 111 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............18 to 28 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 7 to 11 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Windy. Southeast around 30 mph becoming
south around 20 mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............4 or low.
* Mixing Height............11736 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southeast 18 to 23 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (269928 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 75 to 85. Highs 96 to 106. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 23 to 33 pct.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 74 to 84. Highs 96 to 106. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 24 to 34 pct.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 74 to 84. Highs 99 to 109. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 20 to 30 pct.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 75 to 85. Highs 101 to 111.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 76 to 86. Highs 101 to 111.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 150 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE TUCSON INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT
LOCATION (2550 MSL)
$$
AZZ151-201445-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 151
Western half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southeast corner of Pinal County-
Extreme Eastern Pima County-Western third of Cochise County-
Santa Cruz County-TDC-
254 PM MST Wed Jun 19 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear.
* Min Temperature..........63 to 73 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 degs.
* Max Humidity.............38 to 48 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 10 mph shifting to the
northeast after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South around 10 mph increasing to
southeast around 25 mph after midnight.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny then becoming partly
cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........97 to 107 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 7 degs.
* Min Humidity.............15 to 25 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 6 to 10 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Breezy. Southeast 15 to 25 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 25 to 30 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............4 or low.
* Mixing Height............14083 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southeast 25 to 26 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (366158 knot-ft).
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy then becoming partly
cloudy. Patchy blowing dust. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........68 to 78 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 degs.
* Max Humidity.............58 to 68 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 16 to 20 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Windy. Southeast 20 to 30 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............4 or low.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy then becoming mostly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........90 to 100 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 4 to 8 degs.
* Min Humidity.............29 to 39 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 10 to 14 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Breezy. Southeast 15 to 25 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............4 or low.
* Mixing Height............12445 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southeast 20 to 24 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (298680 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 67 to 77. Highs 90 to 100. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
28 to 38 pct.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 67 to 77. Highs 90 to 100. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
30 to 40 pct.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 66 to 76. Highs 92 to 102. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
28 to 38 pct.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 68 to 78. Highs 94 to 104.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 69 to 79. Highs 95 to 105.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 151 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE BUENOS AIRES N.W.R. LOCATION
(3500 MSL)
$$
AZZ152-201445-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 152
Eastern half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southwest Graham County and Eastern two thirds of
Cochise County-Southern San Carlos Reservation-
Southern Greenlee County below 5000 feet-TDC-
254 PM MST Wed Jun 19 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear.
* Min Temperature..........66 to 76 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 4 to 8 degs.
* Max Humidity.............50 to 60 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 11 to 15 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Windy. West around 15 mph increasing to
east around 30 mph after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South around 10 mph increasing to
southeast around 25 mph after midnight.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny then becoming partly
cloudy. Patchy blowing dust. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........92 to 102 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............21 to 31 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 13 to 17 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Windy. Southeast 25 to 35 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 30 to 35 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
* Mixing Height............7727 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southeast 31 to 33 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (254991 knot-ft).
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy then becoming partly
cloudy. Patchy blowing dust. Chance of showers and slight chance
of thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........67 to 77 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Max Humidity.............63 to 73 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 9 to 13 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Windy. Southeast 25 to 35 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 25 to 30 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............4 or low.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Patchy blowing dust.
Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........85 to 95 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 4 to 8 degs.
* Min Humidity.............35 to 45 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 11 to 15 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Windy. Southeast 20 to 30 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............2 or very low.
* Mixing Height............7890 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southeast 26 to 28 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (220920 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 67 to 77. Highs 90 to 100. East wind around 15 mph. Minimum
Humidity 24 to 34 pct.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 67 to 77. Highs 92 to 102. North wind around 15 mph. Minimum
Humidity 22 to 32 pct.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 67 to 77. Highs 93 to 103. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
22 to 32 pct.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 69 to 79. Highs 96 to 106.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 70 to 80. Highs 96 to 106.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 152 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE CHIRICAHUA N.M. LOCATION (5400 MSL)
$$
AZZ153-201445-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 153
Northern Graham County-Northern Greenlee County-
White and Gila Mountains-Apache Sitgreaves NF-
Southern San Carlos Reservation above 5000 feet-SDC-
254 PM MST Wed Jun 19 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear.
* Min Temperature..........59 to 69 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 degs.
* Max Humidity.............59 to 69 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 24 to 28 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest around 15 mph shifting to the
southeast after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South around 15 mph increasing to
southeast around 35 mph after midnight.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny then becoming partly
cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........81 to 91 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............26 to 36 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 14 to 18 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Windy. Southeast 20 to 30 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 35 to 40 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
* Mixing Height............7293 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southeast 31 to 33 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (240669 knot-ft).
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
slight chance of thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........60 to 70 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............69 to 79 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 7 to 11 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Windy. Southeast 20 to 30 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 30 to 35 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............2 or very low.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........74 to 84 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 4 to 8 degs.
* Min Humidity.............45 to 55 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 17 to 21 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Breezy. Southeast 15 to 25 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 25 to 30 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............2 or very low.
* Mixing Height............5846 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southeast 23 to 26 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (151996 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 61 to 71. Highs 80 to 90. Southeast wind around 15 mph.
Minimum Humidity 31 to 41 pct.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 62 to 72. Highs 82 to 92. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
25 to 35 pct.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 62 to 72. Highs 83 to 93. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
23 to 33 pct.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 63 to 73. Highs 86 to 96.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 64 to 74. Highs 87 to 97.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 153 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE POINT OF PINES LOCATION (6040 MSL)
$$
AZZ154-201445-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 154
Forest Woodlands FDRA including the Sky Islands of Southeast
Arizona above 5500 feet-Coronado NF-TDC-
254 PM MST Wed Jun 19 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear.
* Min Temperature..........61 to 71 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 degs.
* Max Humidity.............48 to 58 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 9 to 13 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Windy. West around 15 mph increasing to
east around 30 mph after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South around 10 mph increasing to
southeast around 25 mph after midnight.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny then becoming partly
cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........83 to 93 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............28 to 38 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 17 to 21 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Windy. Southeast 25 to 35 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 30 to 35 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............4 or low.
* Mixing Height............16082 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southeast 28 to 30 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (466378 knot-ft).
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........62 to 72 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............64 to 74 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 13 to 17 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Very windy. East 30 to 40 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 20 to 25 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............4 or low.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........76 to 86 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 5 to 9 degs.
* Min Humidity.............49 to 59 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 18 to 22 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Windy. East around 35 mph becoming
southeast around 25 mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............4 or low.
* Mixing Height............13159 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southeast 24 to 31 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (361872 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 64 to 74. Highs 79 to 89. East wind around 20 mph. Minimum
Humidity 32 to 42 pct.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 64 to 74. Highs 81 to 91. Northwest wind around 15 mph.
Minimum Humidity 31 to 41 pct.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 64 to 74. Highs 82 to 92. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
30 to 40 pct.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 65 to 75. Highs 84 to 94.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 67 to 77. Highs 85 to 95.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 154 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE AVERAGE ACROSS THE ZONE
$$
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