Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
522
FNUS55 KTWC 182127
FWFTWC
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Arizona
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
227 PM MST Tue Jun 18 2024
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
20-FOOT WIND FORECAST OF `LIGHT WINDS` INDICATES MAINLY
TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
.DISCUSSION...Temperatures are expected to heat back up by
Thursday from Tucson westward after the brief few degrees of cooling
through Wednesday. Minimum relative humidity values through
Wednesday will be 8 to 15 percent with overnight recoveries between
25 to 40 percent. Afternoon breeziness out of the southwest can be
expected through Wednesday with gusts to around 20 to 25 mph.
Starting Thursday, surface winds turn to the east to southeast and
become stronger, especially across Graham/Greenlee/Cochise Counties
where sustained 20-ft winds of 20 to 35 mph are expected with
stronger gusts. The strongest of these winds will be in the Upper
Gila River Valley near Safford. With these east to southeast winds,
there will be increased moisture with min RH values in these
locales around 20 percent Thursday. So while the winds are at
critical levels, RH values will remain just above critical levels
but certainly still elevated fire weather conditions due to the
strong winds and dry fuels Thurday. Breezy to windy conditions
continue Friday, though increased moisture will have
overspread more of the forecast area. Some isolated mainly dry
thunderstorms are expected starting Thursday from Tucson eastward
and then to include the remainder of southeast Arizona Friday. As
moisture remains this weekend, isolated thunderstorms will continue
each day through the weekend into early next week with a low grade
monsoon pattern in place.
AZZ150-191515-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 150
Sonoran FDRA-Most of Pima County-South Central Pinal County-
Tohono O`odham Nation-Tucson Metropolitan area-TDC-
227 PM MST Tue Jun 18 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear.
* Min Temperature..........63 to 73 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............35 to 45 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 7 to 11 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
.JUNETEENTH...
* Sky/Weather..............Sunny.
* Max Temperature..........97 to 107 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............6 to 16 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............4 or low.
* Mixing Height............11254 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........South 10 to 11 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (123794 knot-ft).
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear.
* Min Temperature..........67 to 77 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 degs.
* Max Humidity.............26 to 36 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 7 to 11 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 15 mph shifting to the
southeast after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South around 15 mph increasing to
southeast around 25 mph after midnight.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers.
* Max Temperature..........104 to 114 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 7 degs.
* Min Humidity.............10 to 20 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..East around 20 mph shifting to the south
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 25 to 30 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
* Mixing Height............13115 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southeast 21 to 22 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (288530 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows 73 to 83. Highs
103 to 113. Southeast wind around 25 mph. Minimum Humidity 14 to
24 pct.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 75 to 85. Highs 101 to 111. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 15 to 25 pct.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 75 to 85. Highs 100 to 110. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 16 to 26 pct.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 75 to 85. Highs 100 to 110.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 74 to 84. Highs 100 to 110.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 150 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE TUCSON INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT
LOCATION (2550 MSL)
$$
AZZ151-191515-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 151
Western half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southeast corner of Pinal County-
Extreme Eastern Pima County-Western third of Cochise County-
Santa Cruz County-TDC-
227 PM MST Tue Jun 18 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Clear.
* Min Temperature..........59 to 69 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............40 to 50 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 7 to 11 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
.JUNETEENTH...
* Sky/Weather..............Sunny.
* Max Temperature..........93 to 103 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 degs.
* Min Humidity.............8 to 14 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South around 20 mph decreasing to around
10 mph in the afternoon.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
* Mixing Height............8582 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........South 11 to 13 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (111566 knot-ft).
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Clear.
* Min Temperature..........63 to 73 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 7 degs.
* Max Humidity.............37 to 47 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 15 mph shifting to the
northeast after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast around 10 mph increasing to
around 25 mph after midnight.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Sunny then becoming partly cloudy.
Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........96 to 106 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............16 to 26 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 8 to 12 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Breezy. Southeast 15 to 25 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast around 35 mph decreasing to
around 25 mph in the afternoon.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* LAL......................2.
* Haines Index.............4 or low.
* Mixing Height............15026 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southeast 28 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (420728 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 67 to 77. Highs 94 to 104. Southeast wind around 30 mph.
Minimum Humidity 24 to 34 pct.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 67 to 77. Highs 93 to 103. East wind around 15 mph. Minimum
Humidity 22 to 32 pct.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 68 to 78. Highs 94 to 104. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
22 to 32 pct.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 68 to 78. Highs 93 to 103.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 68 to 78. Highs 93 to 103.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 151 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE BUENOS AIRES N.W.R. LOCATION
(3500 MSL)
$$
AZZ152-191515-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 152
Eastern half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southwest Graham County and Eastern two thirds of
Cochise County-Southern San Carlos Reservation-
Southern Greenlee County below 5000 feet-TDC-
227 PM MST Tue Jun 18 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear.
* Min Temperature..........60 to 70 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Max Humidity.............33 to 43 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 4 to 8 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............4 or low.
.JUNETEENTH...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny.
* Max Temperature..........93 to 103 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 degs.
* Min Humidity.............8 to 14 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
* Mixing Height............12048 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........South 10 to 15 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (180720 knot-ft).
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear. Patchy blowing dust.
* Min Temperature..........66 to 76 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 4 to 8 degs.
* Max Humidity.............48 to 58 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 10 to 14 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Windy. South around 25 mph increasing to
east around 35 mph after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast around 10 mph increasing to
around 30 mph after midnight.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny then becoming partly
cloudy. Patchy blowing dust. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........91 to 101 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............21 to 31 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 14 to 18 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Windy. Southeast 25 to 35 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 30 to 35 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............4 or low.
* Mixing Height............5991 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southeast 33 to 34 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (203694 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Patchy blowing dust. Chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows 67 to 77. Highs 88 to 98. Southeast wind
around 35 mph. Minimum Humidity 29 to 39 pct.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 67 to 77. Highs 91 to 101. East wind around 20 mph. Minimum
Humidity 24 to 34 pct.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 68 to 78. Highs 94 to 104. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
20 to 30 pct.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 68 to 78. Highs 94 to 104.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 68 to 78. Highs 94 to 104.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 152 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE CHIRICAHUA N.M. LOCATION (5400 MSL)
$$
AZZ153-191515-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 153
Northern Graham County-Northern Greenlee County-
White and Gila Mountains-Apache Sitgreaves NF-
Southern San Carlos Reservation above 5000 feet-SDC-
227 PM MST Tue Jun 18 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear.
* Min Temperature..........54 to 64 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Max Humidity.............32 to 42 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............4 or low.
.JUNETEENTH...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny.
* Max Temperature..........82 to 92 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 degs.
* Min Humidity.............9 to 16 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast around 10 mph shifting to the
south in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
* Mixing Height............10928 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southeast 17 to 19 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (207632 knot-ft).
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear.
* Min Temperature..........58 to 68 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 degs.
* Max Humidity.............57 to 67 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 23 to 27 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Breezy. South around 15 mph increasing
to southeast around 25 mph after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South around 20 mph increasing to
southeast around 40 mph after midnight.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny then becoming partly
cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........80 to 90 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............25 to 35 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 15 to 19 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Windy. Southeast 20 to 30 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast around 40 mph decreasing to
around 30 mph in the afternoon.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............4 or low.
* Mixing Height............6186 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southeast 32 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (197952 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 61 to 71. Highs 77 to 87. Southeast wind around 30 mph.
Minimum Humidity 37 to 47 pct.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 61 to 71. Highs 80 to 90. East wind around 15 mph. Minimum
Humidity 34 to 44 pct.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 62 to 72. Highs 83 to 93. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
24 to 34 pct.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 62 to 72. Highs 85 to 95.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 63 to 73. Highs 84 to 94.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 153 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE POINT OF PINES LOCATION (6040 MSL)
$$
AZZ154-191515-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 154
Forest Woodlands FDRA including the Sky Islands of Southeast
Arizona above 5500 feet-Coronado NF-TDC-
227 PM MST Tue Jun 18 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Clear.
* Min Temperature..........57 to 67 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Max Humidity.............35 to 45 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 8 to 12 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............4 or low.
.JUNETEENTH...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny.
* Max Temperature..........83 to 93 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 degs.
* Min Humidity.............9 to 17 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
* Mixing Height............12675 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........South 13 to 15 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (177450 knot-ft).
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear.
* Min Temperature..........61 to 71 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 degs.
* Max Humidity.............45 to 55 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 6 to 10 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Windy. Southwest around 20 mph
increasing to east around 35 mph after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast around 10 mph increasing to
around 30 mph after midnight.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny then becoming partly
cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........82 to 92 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............28 to 38 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 18 to 22 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Windy. Southeast 25 to 35 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 30 to 35 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............4 or low.
* Mixing Height............13211 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southeast 30 to 31 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (402935 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 63 to 73. Highs 80 to 90. East wind around 35 mph. Minimum
Humidity 37 to 47 pct.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 64 to 74. Highs 81 to 91. East wind around 20 mph. Minimum
Humidity 30 to 40 pct.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 65 to 75. Highs 83 to 93. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
26 to 36 pct.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 65 to 75. Highs 83 to 93.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 65 to 75. Highs 83 to 93.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 154 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE AVERAGE ACROSS THE ZONE
$$
Visit us on Facebook...Twitter...YouTube...and at weather.gov/Tucson