441
FNUS73 KUNR 142021
FWSUNR

Spot Forecast for Creek Fire...Wyoming State Forestry Division
National Weather Service Rapid City SD
221 PM MDT Fri Jun 14 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1300 MDT on June 14.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Wind directions and speeds are expected to be erratic during
the rest of this afternoon and this evening due to outflow boundaries from
possible thunderstorm development in northeastern Wyoming and southeastern
Montana late this afternoon/early this evening.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms.
Max temperature.....Around 87.
Min humidity........28 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts to around
                    22 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near any
                    showers or thunderstorms.
CWR.................20 percent.
LAL.................3.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......7500 to 8000 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
Min temperature.....Around 57.
Max humidity........78 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds around 10 mph early in the evening,
                    becoming northwest 15 to 20 mph with gusts around 35 mph
                    around 800 PM MDT, then around 900 PM MDT northeast around 15
                    mph with gusts up to 25 mph around midnight, southeast 10 to 15 mph.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near any showers or thunderstorms.
CWR.................25 percent.
LAL.................3 until 2400, then 1.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......400 to 900 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent). Chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 92.
Min humidity........19 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
CWR.................15 percent.
LAL.................1 until 1200, then 3.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......10500 to 11000 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph increasing to around 25
                    mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent.

$$
Forecaster...GR
Requested by...Jeremy Dedic
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2416066.2/UNR
.DELDT 06/14/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL jeremy.dedic@wyo.gov