Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS State College, PA

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765 FXUS61 KCTP 110313 AFDCTP Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service State College PA 1113 PM EDT Mon Jun 10 2024 .SYNOPSIS... * After a cool overnight, temperatures will be on the rise through the week as high pressure brings a stretch of dry weather with relatively low humidity, light winds, and plenty of sunshine. * The next significant chance of rain will be this Friday, as a cold front approaches from the Great Lakes. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM TUESDAY MORNING/... Considerable cloudiness persists across the Allegheny Plateau heading into the overnight hours. A few light rain showers or sprinkles remain possible near the Mason-Dixon line. It will be another cool overnight, with low temperatures dipping into the 40s across the Allegheny Plateau and the low to mid 50s in the Susquehanna and Cumberland valleys. If we can get the clouds to break, we could see a bit of fog formation overnight as well. && .SHORT TERM /6 AM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/... The upper trough that has kept temperatures on the cool side the past few days will begin to lift out of the area on Tuesday. The northwest mtns should see a 5-10 degree bump in max temps, while more modest warming of perhaps a couple of degrees is expected elsewhere. High pressure will begin to build in Tuesday night, which will support clearing skies and calm winds. Patchy valley fog is possible, with overnight lows ranging from the upper 40s northwest to mid 50s southeast. && .LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/... We`re still expecting a warm up for the second half of the week, with afternoon highs topping out Thursday for most locations, and perhaps Friday for SE PA. The next chc of rain will come in the form of showers/storms in the Thursday night into Friday timeframe, accompanying the arrival of a cold front. The potential for stronger storms may end up being determined by the timing of the cold front. Next weekend looks dry, as a northerly flow of drier air from Canada is advected into our area. Any slight cool down on Saturday will be short-lived, with warmer temperatures progged to build back into the area Sunday into Monday. && .AVIATION /03Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
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Clouds will continue to build in through tonight, but most sites should maintain VFR with ceilings likely to remain near 5000ft. Some lower clouds are possible across the west and north of PA, and BFD will likely (~80%) keep its MVFR cigs through tomorrow morning. Light patchy ridgetop fog could also develop in the NW, but confidence is low enough to not mention it in the BFD TAF. Conditions will improve on Tuesday as the mid level cloud dissipates throujgh the day and will become good VFR by early afternoon. Winds will remain on the light side, Outlook... Wed-Thu...Predominantly VFR w/ no sig wx expected. Fri...Restrictions possible if afternoon/evening CB/TSRA develops.
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&& .CTP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SYNOPSIS...Evanego NEAR TERM...Evanego SHORT TERM...Evanego/Bowen LONG TERM...Martin/Evanego AVIATION...Bowen/Tyburski