Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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562 FXUS64 KLZK 201145 AFDLZK Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Little Rock AR 645 AM CDT Thu Jun 20 2024 ...New AVIATION... .SHORT TERM... (Today through Friday Night) Issued at 336 AM CDT Thu Jun 20 2024 An upper level ridge over the Ohio River Valley will retrograde to the west today and Friday. Increased subsidence over the area will result in decreased rain chances. Expect dry conditions today and Friday. Highs today and Friday will be in the upper 80s to mid 90s. With dew points remaining in the 60s, heat indices should remain below advisory criteria. Lows tonight will be in the mid 60s to lower 70s. && .LONG TERM... (Saturday through Wednesday) Issued at 336 AM CDT Thu Jun 20 2024 The period will begin with a large ridge of high pressure over Arkansas. Under the ridge, temperatures will be above to well above average on Saturday, and conditions will be largely dry. Given dewpoints in the 60s, afternoon heat index values will have difficulty reaching the century mark. That will change as the period progresses. Late in the weekend and early next week, the ridge will wobble toward the southern Plains/southern Rockies. Temperatures will come down a couple of degrees, but not enough to notice. We will be under the the eastern periphery of the ridge, with clockwise flow creating a weak northwest flow aloft. A cold front will drift toward Arkansas from the mid-Mississippi Valley/central Plains, and humidity levels will tick a bit higher. Oppressive conditions are expected as heat indices max out between 100 and 110 degrees across much of the state. Heat Advisories will likely be required. There will also be isolated to scattered afternoon/early evening thunderstorms by Tuesday/Wednesday. && .AVIATION...
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(12Z TAFS) Issued at 641 AM CDT Thu Jun 20 2024 An upper level ridge over the eastern U.S. will retrograde to the west during the next couple of days. No precipitation is expected. Included fog for a few hours at HRO this morning with MVFR conditions. Otherwise, VFR conditions will continue.
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&& .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Batesville AR 91 70 93 71 / 0 0 0 0 Camden AR 93 69 94 70 / 0 0 0 0 Harrison AR 87 67 90 69 / 0 0 0 0 Hot Springs AR 92 70 94 71 / 0 0 0 0 Little Rock AR 93 73 95 75 / 0 0 0 0 Monticello AR 93 71 95 73 / 0 0 0 0 Mount Ida AR 91 68 92 69 / 0 0 0 0 Mountain Home AR 88 68 91 70 / 0 0 0 0 Newport AR 91 72 93 73 / 0 0 0 0 Pine Bluff AR 92 71 94 73 / 0 0 0 0 Russellville AR 91 71 94 72 / 0 0 0 0 Searcy AR 91 70 94 71 / 0 0 0 0 Stuttgart AR 91 72 93 74 / 0 0 0 0 && .LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...51 LONG TERM....46 AVIATION...51