-- Discussion containing changed information from previous version are highlighted. --
908
FXUS64 KMOB 221859
AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
159 PM CDT Wed May 22 2024

...New AVIATION, NEAR TERM...

.AVIATION...
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(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 159 PM CDT Wed May 22 2024

VFR conditions will prevail through the next 24 hours. Winds
primarily south to southeast 5 to 10 knots this afternoon, light
and variable overnight, and then south to southeasterly 5 to 10
knots again after sunrise Thursday. DS/12
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&&

.NEAR TERM...
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(Now through Thursday)
Issued at 159 PM CDT Wed May 22 2024

Upper level ridging will shift slightly south out over the Gulf
tonight and Thursday, with nearly zonal flow aloft expected over
our area. Surface high pressure, centered in the Atlantic off the
US east coast will continue to ridge into the region from the
east, while a frontal boundary stalls well to our northwest. With
this pattern, a persistent, light south to southeast flow will
continue, with atmospheric moisture gradually increasing. Although
moisture will be increasing, high pressure will remain firm across
our area, so any weather associated with the frontal boundary will
weaken as well as remain to our west and northwest. There could be
a very isolated shower or storm associated with the late afternoon
heating and the sea breeze circulation near the coast, but chances
are far too low to include a PoP or QPF and the dry pattern with
mostly clear skies (with scattered to broken cumulus during the
afternoon hours) and above normal warmth will continue. Lows
tonight will range from the low/mid 60s inland to the lower 70s
closer to the coast, and mid 70s along the immediate beaches and
barrier islands. Temperatures will remain quite warm, with highs
in the upper 80s to around 90 inland and low to mid 80s near and
along the coast. DS/12
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&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
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Mobile      68  87  71  89  72  90  74  89 /   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Pensacola   72  85  73  86  75  88  76  87 /   0   0   0  10   0   0   0   0
Destin      73  84  74  85  76  85  77  85 /   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Evergreen   65  90  67  91  70  93  70  92 /   0   0   0  10   0  10  10  10
Waynesboro  66  90  69  93  70  94  72  94 /   0   0   0   0  10  10   0  10
Camden      66  90  68  91  70  92  71  93 /   0   0   0  10  10  20  10  10
Crestview   66  89  67  89  70  91  70  91 /   0   0   0  10   0  10   0  10
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&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

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