Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX

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710 FXUS64 KSJT 212307 AFDSJT Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service San Angelo TX 607 PM CDT Fri Jun 21 2024 ...New AVIATION... .SHORT TERM... (This evening through Saturday) Issued at 159 PM CDT Fri Jun 21 2024 As of this afternoon, skies were partly cloudy with temperatures hovering around 90 and winds from the south at 10 to 15 MPH. Unlike the past few days an upper level ridge, currently located over the Tennessee Valley, has started to build in across central Texas. This feature should help to suppress most chances for rain today and tomorrow and allow warmer temperatures to occur. Another round of nocturnal stratus is expected to develop and build in late tonight across the Edwards Plateau and northwest Hill Country areas. This cloud cover should burn off by late morning. Other than a few showers along and south of the I-10 corridor this afternoon, precipitation is not expected through tomorrow evening. && .LONG TERM... (Saturday night through next Friday) Issued at 218 PM CDT Fri Jun 21 2024 For the weekend, we continue the warming trend across the region as dry conditions make a return. A high pressure system will develop across the southwestern U.S., which will leave us on the eastern end of this system. This will be the root cause of our hot and dry conditions. Some locations may make a return to the triple digits early next week. In fact, heat indexes near 105 degrees are possible, which will increase the likelihood for heat related illnesses. && .AVIATION...
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(00Z TAFS) Issued at 607 PM CDT Fri Jun 21 2024 Isolated SHRA south of a Big Lake to San Saba line through 06Z could bring brief, local MVFR/IFR conditions. Otherwise, VFR conditions should continue through 09Z. 09Z-14Z, MVFR CIGs expected to develop south of a KMAF to KSJT to K81R line, impacting KSOA and KJCT. There is a chance that MVFR CIGs impact KSJT and KBBD as well, but confidence too low to include in TAFs. Meanwhile, VFR conditions should continue elsewhere. 14Z-16Z, expect conditions to improve to VFR. 16Z today to 00Z Sun, widespread VFR conditions expected. Winds from the SE will weaken to around the 5-8 KT speed by 02Z and continue at that speed while turning more out of the S direction through 14Z. 14Z today through 00Z Sun, winds S 8-11 KT with gusts of 13-16 KT expected.
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&& .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
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Abilene 72 94 73 97 / 0 0 0 0 San Angelo 70 96 71 99 / 0 0 0 0 Junction 70 91 70 95 / 0 0 0 0 Brownwood 71 91 70 95 / 0 0 0 0 Sweetwater 72 95 72 98 / 0 0 0 0 Ozona 69 90 70 94 / 0 0 0 0 Brady 70 90 70 93 / 0 0 0 0
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&& .SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...SK LONG TERM....41 AVIATION...SJH