Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Rapid City, SD

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446 FXUS63 KUNR 221018 AFDUNR Area Forecast Discussion For Western SD and Northeastern WY National Weather Service Rapid City SD 418 AM MDT Sun Sep 22 2024 .KEY MESSAGES... -Some frost early this morning across northeast WY and northwest SD -Warming back up next week with little to no precipitation expected && .DISCUSSION...(Today Through Saturday) Issued at 101 AM MDT Sun Sep 22 2024 Water vapor shows split trof axis to our east with fast west/northwest flow across the norther tier. Surface high has settled into northeast WY and the western Dakotas, with temps early this morning in the 30s/40s. Highs today will generally be in the lower to mid 70s on the plains with southerly flow returning. Next upper wave moves through Monday, with winds shifting back to the northwest. Highs will reach into the 80s south/east of the Black Hills ahead of the cold front. Tuesday will cool back down into the 70s behind the fropa. Large upper ridge building through the Rockies Tuesday will shift into the Plains Wednesday and Thursday, with temps back well into the 80s Wednesday along with some 90s Thursday. Ridge will flatten late in the week and weekend as disturbed westerly flow strengthens over the northern tier. This will support a slight cool down, but chances for precip will remain very low. && .AVIATION...
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(For the 12Z TAFS Through 12Z Monday Morning) Issued At 417 AM MDT Sun Sep 22 2024 VFR conditions will prevail through the TAF period.
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&& .UNR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... SD...Frost Advisory until 8 AM MDT this morning for SDZ001-002-012. WY...Frost Advisory until 8 AM MDT this morning for WYZ054>056- 058>060. && $$ DISCUSSION/KEY MESSAGES...Johnson AVIATION...Pojorlie