Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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902 FXUS64 KLZK 110911 AFDLZK Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Little Rock AR 411 AM CDT Tue Jun 11 2024 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM... .SHORT TERM...
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(Today through Wednesday Night) Issued at 409 AM CDT Tue Jun 11 2024 The Mid-South was under the influence of a broad sfc ridge that extended fm the western Great Lakes southward into the Ozarks. Cooler and somewhat drier air contd to filter into the FA via a light E/NE wind flow. Abundant high clouds were noted acrs the region early this mrng, assocd with an upper lvl system to the west. Predawn temps ranged fm the upper 50s to the upper 60s. Not much new to discuss regarding the weather the next few days as the sfc ridge wl persist acrs the region. The aforementioned upper system wl track sloly to the east into Wed. It still appears that any precip assocd with this feature wl stay to our southwest. Otherwise, temps are expected to rmn close to seasonal norms today, with highs in the 80s. Highs on Wed wl begin to inch up a few degrees as upper heights start to incrs. This trend wl cont beyond this fcst PD.
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&& .LONG TERM...
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(Thursday through Monday) Issued at 409 AM CDT Tue Jun 11 2024 The period will begin with high pressure building over the region from the central/southern Plains. Under the ridge, mostly dry conditions are expected, and hot temperatures are in the forecast Friday through the weekend. While well above normal temperatures will be noted, heat index values will not be an issue initially. Given dewpoints in the 50s/60s the first couple days of the period, heat indices will fall short of triple digits. However, moisture will slowly increase with time, and much of the state except the Ozark/Ouachita Mountains will experience heat indices from 100 to 105 degrees on Sunday. Early next week, the ridge will wobble to the east. There is some indication that tropical moisture will head this way from the Gulf Coast on Monday. Temperatures will not be as hot, and there will be isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms during the afternoon/evening.
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&& .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1229 AM CDT Tue Jun 11 2024 Abundant high lvl clouds wl cont to stream acrs the region thru the PD. Localized dense fog wl be noted a few locations thru daybreak, otherwise VFR conds wl prevail. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
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Batesville AR 82 60 86 63 / 0 0 0 0 Camden AR 87 62 88 61 / 0 0 0 0 Harrison AR 81 60 85 63 / 0 0 0 0 Hot Springs AR 86 63 88 64 / 0 0 0 0 Little Rock AR 85 64 88 65 / 0 0 0 0 Monticello AR 86 63 87 63 / 0 0 0 0 Mount Ida AR 84 61 88 62 / 0 0 0 0 Mountain Home AR 81 60 86 63 / 0 0 0 0 Newport AR 82 61 86 63 / 0 0 0 0 Pine Bluff AR 85 62 86 63 / 0 0 0 0 Russellville AR 84 63 88 64 / 0 0 0 0 Searcy AR 83 61 86 62 / 0 0 0 0 Stuttgart AR 83 63 85 64 / 0 0 0 0
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&& .LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...44 LONG TERM....46 AVIATION...44