Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS

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130
FNAK51 PAFC 271520 AAA
FWFAER

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
720 AM AKDT Thu Jun 27 2024

.DISCUSSION...The main axis for thunderstorm activity will shift eastwards
today and Friday with much of it confined to the northern half of
the Copper River Basin; however, a few isolated storms cannot be
ruled out near the Talkeetna Mountains into the far northern
Susitna Valley. With little in the way of forcing, convection
today will be diurnally driven with storms firing by mid-afternoon
and dissipating through the evening hours.

In addition to isolated to scattered storms, temperatures in the
Copper River Valley will push into the upper 70s to near 80 degrees
from near Chistochina down to McCarthy. Dewpoints will drop into the
low to mid 40s resulting in minimum RH values of 25 to 35 percent.
A pressure gradient over the Chugach Mountains will strengthen
this afternoon and resulting in breezy southerly gap flow winds to
develop this afternoon for the far southern basin.


AKZ101-280215-
ANCHORAGE-
INCLUDING...ANCHORAGE...EAGLE RIVER...INDIAN...EKLUTNA
720 AM AKDT Thu Jun 27 2024

.ABOVE 1500 FT...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD COVER        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  0            0            0
TEMP (24H TREND)   68 (-1)      47 (+1)      67
RH % (24H TREND)   47-57 (-5)   91 (0)       46-55
20FTWND(MPH)       W 2-6        SW 2-5       W 2-5
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3236                      3509
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)S  9                      S  7
CWR                0            0            0
LAL                1            1            1
VENT RATE (KT-FT)  30321                     27378

REMARKS...NONE.

.BELOW 1500 FT...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD COVER        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  0            0            0
TEMP (24H TREND)   72 (+1)      51 (+1)      72
RH % (24H TREND)   46-54 (-2)   80-90 (0)    45-52
20FTWND(MPH)       W 3-6        SW 2-6       W 3-5
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3142                      3142
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)SW  8                     SW  6
CWR                0            0            0
LAL                1            1            1
VENT RATE (KT-FT)  22024                     20608

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

AKZ111-280215-
MATANUSKA VALLEY-
INCLUDING...PALMER...WASILLA...SUTTON...CHICKALOON
720 AM AKDT Thu Jun 27 2024

.ABOVE 1500 FT...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD COVER        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        SHWRS        NONE         SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  20           0            30
TEMP (24H TREND)   64-70 (0)    47 (0)       63-69
RH % (24H TREND)   47-57 (-4)   88 (-7)      46-56
20FTWND(MPH)       SW 2-7       SW 2-6       W 3-5
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3694                      3956
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)SW  8                     SW  7
CWR                0            0            0
LAL                1            1            1
VENT RATE (KT-FT)  24989                     25376

REMARKS...NONE.

.BELOW 1500 FT...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD COVER        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        NONE         NONE         RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  0            0            20
TEMP (24H TREND)   74 (+2)      49 (+1)      74
RH % (24H TREND)   43-51 (-5)   83-90 (0)    42-49
20FTWND(MPH)       SW 3-8       SW 4-8       SW 3-6
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4081                      4167
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)SW  8                     SW  6
CWR                0            0            0
LAL                1            1            1
VENT RATE (KT-FT)  28794                     31347

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

AKZ121-280215-
WESTERN KENAI PENINSULA-
INCLUDING...KENAI...SOLDOTNA...HOMER...COOPER LANDING
720 AM AKDT Thu Jun 27 2024

.INLAND AREAS...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD COVER        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        NONE         NONE         RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  0            0            20
TEMP (24H TREND)   63-69 (-3)   47 (+1)      62-70
RH % (24H TREND)   48-55 (+2)   83-91 (0)    47-58
20FTWND(MPH)       W 2-5        W 3-6        NW 2-5
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3842                      4271
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)SW  6                     N  7
CWR                0            0            0
LAL                1            1            1
VENT RATE (KT-FT)  24331                     27160

REMARKS...NONE.

.COASTAL AREAS...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD COVER        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  0            0            0
TEMP (24H TREND)   64 (0)       49 (+1)      59-65
RH % (24H TREND)   54-63 (-1)   84-91 (0)    53-67
20FTWND(MPH)       W 4-8        SW 4-11      W 3-6
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3048                      3250
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)SW  8                     SW  7
CWR                0            0            0
LAL                1            1            1
VENT RATE (KT-FT)  25426                     20960

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

AKZ125-280215-
WESTERN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
INCLUDING...WHITTIER...SEWARD...GIRDWOOD...MOOSE PASS
720 AM AKDT Thu Jun 27 2024

.INLAND AREAS...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD COVER        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  0            0            0
TEMP (24H TREND)   57-69 (-1)   46 (0)       57-69
RH % (24H TREND)   44-62 (+2)   91 (0)       42-60
20FTWND(MPH)       SE 2-6       S 2-6        SE 3-5
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3718                      3926
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)SE  9                     SE  8
CWR                0            0            0
LAL                1            1            1
VENT RATE (KT-FT)  31469                     30784

REMARKS...NONE.

.COASTAL AREAS...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD COVER        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  0            0            0
TEMP (24H TREND)   53-63 (0)    49 (0)       54-64
RH % (24H TREND)   60-74 (0)    91 (0)       55-74
20FTWND(MPH)       S 2-6        S 1-6        S 2-5
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 2573                      2304
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)SE  7                     E  6
CWR                0            0            0
LAL                1            1            1
VENT RATE (KT-FT)  20564                     20690

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS AROUND 60. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.

$$

AKZ141-280215-
COPPER RIVER BASIN-
INCLUDING...GLENNALLEN...EUREKA...MCCARTHY...PAXSON...SLANA
720 AM AKDT Thu Jun 27 2024

.ABOVE 2500 FT...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD COVER        MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  60           60           70
TEMP (24H TREND)   56-73 (-2)   41-47 (-1)   54-72
RH % (24H TREND)   31-50 (+9)   68-84 (+5)   32-55
20FTWND(MPH)       S 4-9        SW 2-9       SW 3-7
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 7976                      7033
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)S  9                      SW  8
CWR                50           40           50
LAL                3            3            2
VENT RATE (KT-FT)  83538                     67177

REMARKS...NONE.

.BELOW 2500 FT...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD COVER        MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  30           20           40
TEMP (24H TREND)   82 (-1)      51 (+1)      80
RH % (24H TREND)   30 (+2)      68-80 (-2)   31
20FTWND(MPH)       S 3-9        S 4-10       SW 2-6
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 7972                      8044
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)S 10                      S  8
CWR                30           20           30
LAL                2            2            2
VENT RATE (KT-FT)  90832                     69417

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.

$$

AKZ145-280215-
SUSITNA VALLEY-
INCLUDING...TALKEETNA...WILLOW
720 AM AKDT Thu Jun 27 2024

.ABOVE 1500 FT...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD COVER        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  60           60           40
TEMP (24H TREND)   65-72 (-2)   49 (0)       63-69
RH % (24H TREND)   38-53 (+7)   81-87 (-3)   42-53
20FTWND(MPH)       SW 4-8       SW 5-10      SW 4-6
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5257                      5294
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)S  7                      SW  7
CWR                40           40           3
LAL                3            3            2
VENT RATE (KT-FT)  36806                     40545

REMARKS...NONE.

.BELOW 1500 FT...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD COVER        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  0            0            0
TEMP (24H TREND)   74 (-1)      51 (+2)      74
RH % (24H TREND)   45 (-2)      82 (-5)      44
20FTWND(MPH)       S 3-8        S 6-9        S 3-6
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5103                      5297
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)S  8                      S  7
CWR                0            0            0
LAL                1            1            1
VENT RATE (KT-FT)  43517                     45531

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.

$$