912
FNAK79 PAFG 170134
FWSAFG

Spot Forecast for Hermit 141...Alaska Fire Service
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
534 PM AKDT Sun Jun 16 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1900 AKDT on June 16.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Hot and dry conditions will continue for the next several days,
with highs consistently near or above 80 and minimum relative
humidity values ranging from the mids 20s to around 30 percent.
While there will be a low chance for an isolated thunderstorm
within the next few hours, the bigger day for thunderstorms will
be Tuesday, when widely scattered thunderstorms will be possible
across the Yukon Flats in the vicinity of the fire. Any storms
that form could produce gusty and erratic winds. Otherwise,
generally southwest to west winds through midweek, with scattered
showers possible from Tuesday onward.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Isolated showers
                    and thunderstorms in the evening.
CWR.................10 percent.
LAL.................2.
Min temperature.....Around 57.
Max humidity........83 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 6 to 8 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms in the
                    evening.
Ridgetop wind.......Southwest winds 8 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......7200 ft AGL decreasing  to 500 ft AGL in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....West around 11 mph.
Inversion setup.....10 PM AKDT.

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
CWR.................1 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 82.
Min humidity........25 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 9 mph.
Ridgetop wind.......West winds 8 to 12 mph.
Mixing height.......1000 ft AGL increasing to 7700 ft AGL in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....West around 12 mph.
Inversion burnoff...8 AM AKDT.

.MONDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
CWR.................1 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 55.
Max humidity........83 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 6 to 9 mph in the evening becoming
                    light.
Ridgetop wind.......West winds.
Mixing height.......7700 ft AGL decreasing to 600 ft AGL in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....West around 12 mph.
Inversion setup.....10 PM AKDT.

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers and isolated thunderstorms through the
                    day.
CWR.................10 percent.
LAL.................3.
Max temperature.....Around 80.
Min humidity........30 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 5 to 6 mph in
                    the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms.
Ridgetop wind.......West winds 5 mph becoming southwest 7 to 9 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......600 ft AGL increasing to 6100 ft AGL in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 9 mph.
Inversion burnoff...8 AM AKDT.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.JUNETEENTH...
Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs around 80. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. Lows
in the lower 50s. Highs in the upper 70s. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in
the upper 70s. East winds around 6 mph.

$$
Forecaster...SALTZMAN
Requested by...Emmaly Gavin
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2416243.0/AFG
.DELDT 06/16/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0