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FNAK79 PAFG 191409
FWSAFG

Spot Forecast for Hermit 141...Alaska Fire Service
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
609 AM AKDT Wed Jun 19 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0700 AKDT on June 19.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
A thermal low pressure trough over the fire will move south of the fire
on Thu, then remain south of the fire Fri into the weekend.
Today will be slightly warmer and drier than Tuesday was.
Thu will be cooler and more humid, then there will
be warming and drying trend from Fri into the weekend.

Isolated thunderstorms this morning will increase in occurrence to
widely scattered thunderstorms in the afternoon and evening today.
Small hail and gusty winds will accompany thunderstorms this
afternoon/evening. Thu will see isolated thunderstorms through the day.
Fri will have just isolated PM thunderstorms.



.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Isolated
                    thunderstorms in the morning. Widely scattered
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
CWR.................20 percent.
LAL.................3.
Max temperature.....Around 82.
Min humidity........25 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms.
Ridgetop wind.......West 6 mph.
Mixing height.......800 ft AGL increasing to 6500 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....West around 12 mph.
Inversion burnoff...9 AM.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Widely scattered
                    thunderstorms in the evening. Isolated rain
                    showers after midnight.
CWR.................20 percent.
LAL.................3.
Min temperature.....Around 50.
Max humidity........88 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 mph diminishing after midnight.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms
                    in the evening.
Ridgetop wind.......West 5 mph.
Mixing height.......6500 ft AGL decreasing to 500 ft AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 8 mph.
Inversion setup.....Midnight.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Isolated
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
CWR.................10 percent.
LAL.................3.
Max temperature.....Around 79.
Min humidity........32 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds around 8 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
Ridgetop wind.......Northeast 12 mph.
Mixing height.......1100 ft AGL increasing to 7200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 11 mph.
Inversion burnoff...9 AM.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...
Partly cloudy. Isolated showers and thunderstorms. Lows around
50. Highs in the upper 70s. Northeast winds around 8 mph.
.SATURDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower 80s.
Northeast winds around 7 mph.
.SUNDAY...
Partly cloudy. Isolated showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the
lower 50s. Highs in the lower 80s. Light winds.

$$
Forecaster...BRADER
Requested by...Emmaly Gavin
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2416243.5/AFG
.DELDT 06/19/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0